The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Alibaba
85%
6.00
✗ MiniMax
5%
10.00
✗ Lightricks
2%
✗ Vidu
2%
22.00
✗ Skywork AI
2%
✗ SpaceXAI
2%
✗ PixVerse
2%
✗ Google
—
✗ ByteDance
—
✗ KlingAI
—
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
CNA938 Rewind - Weaponising video: AI's role in modern conflict #SGTodayCNA · 46 h agoYou might have seen these creative – even, entertaining – AI videos depicting global political figures and conflicts. Could these be instrumental in shaping the new public opinion landscape? Daniel Martin discusses further with…
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The Barbaric TextGlorious Life · 33 h agoThe ancient Greeks and Romans considered themselves to be civilized. The had art, law, commerce, military might, and high agriculture. They entertained great thoughts and ideas. And they spoke in a precise and musical language. The…
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Google Messages is getting a powerful new weapon against sneaky text scamsDigital Trends · 33 h agoScam messages aren’t always as obvious as a suspicious link or a text claiming you’ve won a lottery you never entered. Some scammers are clever enough to start perfectly normal conversations, gradually earn your trust, and only reveal what…
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Forget trophy handbags, it’s all about trophy textsThe Standard · 37 h agoYour insider guide to living well in London, with trends and insider recommendations in fashion, wellbeing, travel, beauty and more. You probably already know that fashion is in the grips of a literary love affair. Everyone from Miu Miu to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions