Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%
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Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
The odds
77%BJP-led NDA
- BJP-led NDA77%▼ 1
- SP-Congress alliance21%
- Bahujan Samaj Party2%
How the odds have moved
BJP-led NDA: 78% on Oct 19, 77% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJP-led NDA | 77% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 608 |
| SP-Congress alliance | 21% | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 158 | |
| Bahujan Samaj Party | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Uttar Pradesh Assembly, BJP-led NDA, Bahujan Samaj Party
Search ›- Ex-IAS Officer Divya Mittal Announces JanNiti Bharat, Will Contest All 403 Seats in 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly ElectionsEx-IAS officer Divya Mittal announces her party, JanNiti Bharat, will contest all 403 seats in the 2027 UP elections. Ex-IAS Officer Divya Mittal Announces JanNiti Bharat, Will Contest All 403 Seats in 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections…
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Akhilesh Yadav To Launch Samajwadi Party's Jan-Man Manifesto For 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections On Constitution DayLucknow: Samajwadi Party (SP) to release "Jan-Man Manifesto" for the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections on Constitution Day, on November 26, citing its commitment to protecting the Constitution and strengthening democracy, said SP… -
Punjab passes resolution seeking probe against CEC Gyanesh Kumar over 'vote theft'The Punjab Assembly on Friday unanimously passed a government resolution seeking an independent inquiry into alleged electoral irregularities and the functioning of the Election Commission under Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar… -
Ex-IAS Divya Mittal's party to contest all 403 seats in 2027 UP pollsFormer IAS officer Divya Mittal, who has entered politics, announced that her JanNiti Bharat party will contest the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections and field candidates in all 403 constituencies where it finds strong candidates… -
Seat Battle: Congress Reportedly Demands 200 Seats from Samajwadi Party in UPAccording to sources cited in the report, the Congress party has reportedly demanded 200 seats from the Samajwadi Party (SP) for the upcoming Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, triggering fresh speculation over seat-sharing negotiations… -
On Congress' 175-200 Seats Demand In UP, Samajwadi's 'Winnability' ReplyAfter much dilly-dallying, the Congress has officially begun seat-sharing talks with the Samajwadi Party for next year's Uttar Pradesh elections and submitted an initial list of more than 175 seats where it feels it can make an impression… -
BJP to contest Kolkata and Howrah civic polls alone, hints at NCPI tie-upThe BJP will contest the Kolkata and Howrah municipal elections on its own, party leader Rahul Sinha said on Saturday, ruling out an alliance at the civic level, news agency Press Trust of India reported. However, Union minister Sukanta… -
PM Modi Says 'Parasite' Congress Hurts 'Honest' Dissent MovementsPrime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday claimed there are cracks within the Congress and the wider Opposition ranks over the party's "repeated efforts to launch a failed product", in a not-so-veiled attack on Rahul Gandhi, the Leader of… -
Congress-SP Seat Sharing Talks Continue In UP; Demand Rises For 100 Muslim SeatsSeat-sharing negotiations between the Congress and the Samajwadi Party continue ahead of the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections as both parties aim to take on the Bharatiya Janata Party. The Congress has shared a list of 170 seats divided… -
Controversial Posters Targeting Akhilesh Yadav Surface in LucknowControversial hoardings targeting SP chief Akhilesh Yadav have appeared in Lucknow following his visit to Azam Khan. The political atmosphere intensifies as the BJP and SP trade barbs ahead of the crucial 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly… -
Poster War: BJP and Samajwadi Party Clash Through Posters Ahead of 2027 UP PollsThe political battle ahead of the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections has reportedly intensified, with the BJP and Samajwadi Party engaging in a poster war. The controversy followed Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav’s meeting with… -
BJP wary of allies’ shifting stance ahead of UP pollsLucknow: The BJP is keeping a close watch on the changing stance of its allies ahead of the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, with growing discontent in the Nishad Party and a continuing rebellion within the Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions