Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?
The odds
38%chance▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 36% on Oct 20, 38% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 9 PM ET27% → 34%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38% | ▲ 2 | 36¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 5.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Josh Turek, Iowa
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Josh Turek, the Paralympic gold medalist seeking a US Senate seat from IowaIowa state representative and Paralympic gold medallist Josh Turek is running for the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. -
Iowa Senate Candidates Rep. Ashley Hinson & Josh Turek and Gov. Wes Moore, Sunday on “This Week” with Co-anchor Jonathan KarlThis is a listing for 'This Week' airing Sunday, October 25, 2026. IOWA SENATE CANDIDATES REP. ASHLEY HINSON & JOSH TUREK AND GOV. WES MOORE, SUNDAY ON “THIS WEEK” WITH CO-ANCHOR JONATHAN KARL (R) Iowa Senate Nominee (D) Iowa Senate… -
'This Week' Transcript 10-25-26: Rep. Ashley Hinson, Josh Turek & Gov. Wes MooreThis is a rush transcript of "This Week" airing Sunday, October 25. A rush transcript of "This Week with George Stephanopoulos" airing on Sunday, October 25, 2026 on ABC News is below. This copy may not be in its final form, may be updated… -
NRSC attacks Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek over farm vote recordEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Photos: Josh Turek and Christina Bohannan rally Democrats in DavenportDemocratic candidates for U.S. Senate, Josh Turek, and Iowa's 1st Congressional District, Christina Bohannan rallied Democrats for a Get Out the Vote Rally in Davenport Thursday. Democratic candidate for Iowa's 1st Congressional District… -
Why Josh Turek said bipartisanship will improve agricultureDakota News Now Why Josh Turek said bipartisanship will improve agriculture Estill County High School student moderating 6th District congressional debate next week New Hanover County leaders confront rising food insecurity at annual… -
Josh Turek outraises Ashley Hinson in latest campaign finance periodDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek debates his Republican opponent Ashley Hinson on Oct. 7 at Iowa PBS in Johnston. With Election Day less than two weeks away, Democrat Josh Turek is outpacing Republican Ashley Hinson in… -
How Democrat Josh Turek says that he'll work with RepublicansDakota News Now How Democrat Josh Turek says that he'll work with Republicans Police quiet on what led to man killed in Mesa road rage shooting Breckenkamp’s 16 kills power John Wood past Carl Sandburg on sophomore day 51 school bus… -
How Josh Turek thinks past personal challenges help him represent IowansKTIV How Josh Turek thinks past personal challenges help him represent Iowans Trump Rally: U.S. Armed Forces investment, war in Venezuela and oil prices Trump Rally: 401K, incomes. poverty levels, manufacturing and exports Trump Rally: One… -
Health care, housing, wages: Josh Turek outlines campaign goals at Davenport rallyDownload the KWQC News app to get your local news, sports and weather all in one place. Watch live newscasts, submit a news tip and get breaking news updates as soon as they happen. DAVENPORT, Iowa (KWQC) - Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek… -
Iowa Dem Josh Turek Rejects Immediate Deportation of Illegal Aliens, Incorrectly Links Reps. Miller-Meeks and Feenstra to Dignity ActObama-endorsed Iowa Democrat U.S. Senate nominee Josh Turek said illegal immigrants should not face immediate deportation during an exchange with NBC News anchor Tom Llamas, while inaccurately linking Republican Reps. Mariannette…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions