Brazil Presidential Election
58%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro58%▼ 25
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Toronto mayoral election winner? (2026)
The odds
63%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow63%▼ 2
- Brad Bradford36%▲ 3
- Chris Alexander1%
- John Tory<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
How the odds have moved
Olivia Chow: 74% on Oct 20, 63% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETOlivia Chow: 65% → 45%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 63% | ▼ 2 | 63¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 45.9K |
| Brad Bradford | 36% | ▲ 3 | 36¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 49.0K |
| Chris Alexander | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 54.00 | ||
| John Tory | <1% | 0¢ | 4.2K | |||
| Anthony Furey | <1% | 0¢ | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Toronto, Olivia Chow, Brad Bradford
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Toronto Mayoral Candidates Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford to Debate Ahead of ElectionHome » Trending » Toronto Mayoral Candidates Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford to Debate Ahead of Election The race for Toronto’s mayoral seat is heating up, with a pivotal debate on the horizon that could shape the outcome of the election… - Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow trade parting shots on eve of Toronto mayoral electionThe mayor was on the campaign trail Saturday, looking to sway last-minute voters. “This race is close,” Olivia Chow told reporters in Scarborough. “(It is) neck and neck. Scarborough, your vote will decide it.” The latest Canada Pulse…
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Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow just faced off in their final debate. Here are 4 takeawaysCandidates clash over taxes, data centres and more — as election day looms Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow each shown arriving for Thursday night’s debate. The leading candidates to be the mayor of Toronto faced off Thursday in their final… -
Opinion | Olivia Chow gave Brad Bradford a huge opening. It may cost her city hallToronto’s parks and public spaces have a problem with public disorder that progressives like Olivia Chow haven’t adequately confronted, writes Richard Warnica. Like a lot of young parents in Toronto — my nine-year-old daughter is a fourth… -
Chris Alexander Withdraws from Toronto Mayor RaceAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Why a Brad Bradford victory could have a different look than any other Toronto mayoral raceBrad Bradford could win the Toronto mayoralty despite losing support in his home ward of Beaches—East York. If Brad Bradford wins the Toronto mayoral election, it will likely be without the support of his home ward Beaches—East York, polls… -
Brad Bradford is on the verge of a remarkable comeback. We assess his record — and what his mayoralty might look likeBrad Bradford has crafted what could be a winning message by telling residents who are fed up by the state of the city that he shares their frustration, and that they should expect better. Beaches—East York councillor Brad Bradford is now… - Scott Stinson: Olivia Chow was a heavy favourite to be re-elected as Toronto mayor. Not anymoreIn their final debate, Chow spent much of her time attacking councillor Brad Bradford's promises and record Brad Bradford is disappointed in Olivia Chow. At the final debate of the Toronto mayoral campaign on Thursday night, a familiar…
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Brad Bradford in a dead heat with Olivia Chow in the Toronto mayor’s race, according to new pollA new Liaison Strategies poll suggests Brad Bradford has a slim lead over incumbent Olivia Chow. Composite image of mayoral candidates Brad Bradford (left) and Olivia Chow at the Toronto Star newsroom in October 2026. Brad Bradford and… - NP View: Brad Bradford offers relief for crime-ridden, high-cost TorontoOlivia Chow's time as mayor has been marked rising disorder On Monday, Torontonians will have a historic opportunity to unseat Mayor Olivia Chow and send city hall a message that the era of disorder and failed experiments is coming to an…
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Olivia Chow vowed to make Toronto kinder, more affordable and safer. We look at whether she’s kept her wordOlivia Chow vowed to make Toronto kinder, more affordable and safer. Has she done so? On the eve of the vote, the Star assesses Olivia Chow’s record as mayor of Toronto. “Today is a day for renewal.” That was the optimistic opener of… -
This Toronto mother of four has $200 a week for groceries. Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford have very different plans to help herToronto mayoral candidates Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow agree affordability is a major issue — but offer vastly different ideas to address the problem. Kristina Kennedy, a mother of four struggling to make ends meet, wants whoever is…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions