Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
30%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 202710%
- December 31, 202716%▲ 1
1 more
- December 31, 202830%
Install
OpenRouter AI token usage in October (October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25))
The odds
688.8median
400900
Median 688.8Middle half 681.7 – 696.0
How the odds have moved
Median: 774.0 on Oct 20, 688.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 450T tokens | 100% | 99¢ | 2.5K | |||
| Above 500T tokens | 100% | 99¢ | 2.4K | |||
| Above 550T tokens | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 5.2K | ||
| Above 575T tokens | 98% | 93¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | ||
| Above 600T tokens | 98% | ▲ 4 | 86¢ | $1.02 | 30.00 | |
| Above 625T tokens | 98% | ▼ 3 | 93¢ | $1.02 | 111 | |
| Above 650T tokens | 98% | ▲ 34 | 99¢ | $1.02 | 15.00 | |
| Above 675T tokens | 98% | ▲ 17 | 99¢ | $1.02 | 985 | |
| Above 700T tokens | 11% | 2¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 42.00 | |
| Above 750T tokens | 1% | ▼ 23 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 95.00 | |
| Above 800T tokens | 1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 134 | |
| Above 850T tokens | 1% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 272 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OpenRouter AI
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All ai ›Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
70%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3170%▼ 5
- October 2712%▲ 3
- October 295%▲ 2
11 more
- October 284%▲ 1
- October 313%▲ 3
- October 262%▼ 1
- October 301%▼ 6
- October 241%
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 251%
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
90%Google
- Google90%▲ 1
- Anthropic8%▼ 2
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 20, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 3
2 more
- October 3130%▲ 6
- December 3194%
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
49%Anthropic
- Anthropic49%▲ 3
- Google40%
- OpenAI6%▲ 1
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba1%
- Moonshot1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.