Taipei mayoral election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28, 2027 · $8.4K today · $201K traded · $139K at stake · prices read 37 min ago

The odds

63%Chiang Wan-an
  • Chiang Wan-an63%▲ 3
  • Shen Bo-yang38%▼ 1
  • Kuo Hsi<1%
  • Hsiao Wen-kan<1%
  • Tang Hsin-min<1%
  • Lin Chih-cheng<1%

How the odds have moved

Chiang Wan-an: 58% on Oct 20, 63% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Chiang Wan-an 63% ▲ 3 63¢ 64¢ $1.56 131.1K
Shen Bo-yang 38% ▼ 1 38¢ 39¢ $2.56 306.3K
Kuo Hsi <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
Hsiao Wen-kan <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
Tang Hsin-min <1% 1¢ $100.00 175
Lin Chih-cheng <1% 1¢ $100.00 175

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Taipei, Chiang Wan-an, Shen Bo-yang

Search ›
  • Taipei defends the removal of ‘political’ sticker from bulletin台北時報 · 4 days agoTaipei officials yesterday defended their decision to ask Our Theatre (阮劇團) to remove stickers supporting Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Legislator and Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈柏楊) from a public bulletin at Taipei’s…
  • Kevin Tsai says he has never supported Taiwan independence台北時報 · 35 h agoTelevision host Kevin Tsai (蔡康永) last night broke his silence over a controversy surrounding his appearance at a campaign event for Democratic Progressive Party Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈伯洋), saying he had never supported Taiwan…
  • China accused of pressuring families of Taiwan politicians ahead of key electionNews18 · 47 h agoTaipei [Taiwan], October 24 (ANI): China is allegedly stepping up efforts to intimidate relatives of Taiwanese politicians it considers supporters of independence, raising concerns about possible interference in Taiwan’s upcoming…
  • 2026 Elections: Shen launches ‘policy island’ as Chiang rallies allies台北時報 · 46 h agoDemocratic Progressive Party (DPP) Legislator and Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈伯洋) has issued his policy platform and campaign materials, as Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an (蔣萬安) of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), who is seeking…
  • Puma Shen’s Surge In Taiwan Recalls Mamdani Rise In NY, Raises StakesForbes · 4 days ago“You would assume Chiang would be on a glide path to victory,” said the Washington, D.C.-headquartered Brookings Institution’s China and Taiwan expert Ryan Hass in a recent interview. “There are some parallels to the Mamdani-Cuomo election…
  • Visualization: Taiwan’s Military Air BasesTaiwan Security Monitor · 4 days agoTaiwan Security Monitor Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an has proposed closing Songshan Airport and redeveloping the site as an AI park. Songshan is one of 14 military and dual-use airfields Taiwan operates, and the only one in the capital. About…
  • Could Taipei elect its first DPP mayor in more than 30 years?Nikkei Asia · 5 days agoOur mission is to bring the voices and heartbeats of Asia's vibrant economies together with quality journalism and sound opinion, and to become an indispensable tool in your pursuit of success in Asia ... Could Taipei elect its first DPP…
  • In seeking peace with Beijing, Taipei is an asset, not a burdenWorldNetDaily · 39 h ago'On its end, the West can never afford to yield on Taiwan's right to self-determination' In seeking peace with Beijing, Taipei is an asset, not a burden On October 10, in his Republic of China National Day address, Taiwanese President Lai…
  • Dialogue or confrontation: Taipei's choice at the ballot box@CGTNOfficial · 5 days agoTaipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an shakes hands with Shanghai Mayor Gong Zheng at the 2025 Shanghai-Taipei City Forum, held under the theme "Technology Changes Life," in Shanghai, east China, December 28, 2025. /CFP Editor's note: Chen Guiqing, a…
  • Despite Budget Passage, Defense Items Remain Frozen on Legislative AgendaNew Bloom Magazine · 4 days agoQuestions about defense procurement have been raised, with less than two months in the fiscal year, and the legislature’s Foreign Affairs and National Defense Committee not having scheduled any review of over 150 requests to unfreeze…
  • 2026 Elections: Shen downplays gains in latest Taipei polling台北時報 · 6 days agoTaipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an (蔣萬安) yesterday said he would let his performance speak for itself, while Democratic Progressive Party Legislator Puma Shen (沈伯洋) said victory would be decided at the ballot box, as the latest poll showed Shen…
  • KMT Expulsion Petition Against Jaw Shaw-kong Sparks Debate Over Media FairnessVision Times · 6 days agoHome » World » KMT Expulsion Petition Against Jaw Shaw-kong Sparks Debate Over Media Fairness An effort to expel veteran broadcaster and former vice presidential candidate Jaw Shaw-kong from Taiwan’s Kuomintang (KMT) for interviewing an…

Related markets

All around the world ›
Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

>99%Student List – Students Win
  • Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 73
  • Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 74
  • Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
  • Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
  • Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
  • Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
  • Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
  • Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
  • European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
  • SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

44%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen44%
  • Édouard Philippe16%▲ 1
  • David Lisnard14%
42 more
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▼ 1
  • Raphaël Glucksmann4%▲ 1
  • François Hollande3%▲ 1
  • Bruno Retailleau2%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Sarah Knafo1%
  • Jordan Bardella1%
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Christine Lagarde<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions