Brazil Presidential Election
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Tainan mayoral election winner? (2026)
The odds
93%Chen Ting-fei
- Chen Ting-fei93%▼ 1
- Hsieh Lung-chieh3%▲ 1
- Yeh Jen-wen2%
- Hsiao Lin-hung2%
How the odds have moved
Chen Ting-fei: 90% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chen Ting-fei | 93% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | $1.07 | 1.9K | |
| Hsieh Lung-chieh | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.4K | |
| Yeh Jen-wen | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 50.00 | |
| Hsiao Lin-hung | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tainan, Chen Ting-fei, Hsieh Lung-chieh
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Tainan expands Japan tourism perks to KagaTainan residents visiting Kaga can enter 4 hot spring facilities for free Oct. 14, 2026 16:18 TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Kaga, Japan, is set to become the 14th Japanese friendship city to join Tainan’s reciprocal tourism program on Nov. 1… -
Tainan to begin removing 17 railway crossingsCity plans demolition of bridges and underpasses after underground line opens Oct. 14, 2026 13:14 TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Tainan will begin removing railway crossings and related structures on Sunday, a day after the city's underground… -
2026 Elections: Twelve mayoral candidates sign on to sustainability pledgesTwelve mayoral candidates have signed pledges to promote sustainable and resilient policies if elected, civic groups said yesterday. Civic groups, including the Taipei-based Green Citizens’ Action Alliance (GCAA) and the Taiwan Climate…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions