Taichung mayoral election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28, 2027 · $55 today · $1.6K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

79%Chiang Chi-chen

Chiang Chi-chen79%▼ 2
Ho Hsin-chun17%▲ 3
Hong Li-hua1%

How the odds have moved

Chiang Chi-chen: 78% on Oct 19, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Chiang Chi-chen	79%	▼ 2	74¢	84¢	$1.19	1.4K
Ho Hsin-chun	17%	▲ 3	15¢	18¢	$5.56	2.7K
Hong Li-hua	1%			1¢	$100.00	100

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Taichung, Chiang Chi-chen, Ho Hsin-chun

Search ›

Typhoon delays Army base tour in Taichung@Focus_Taiwan · 5 days agoTaipei, Oct. 21 (CNA) The Army has postponed by one week a tour of its Chengkungling military base in Taichung, originally scheduled for Saturday, because of the approaching Typhoon Champi. The tour will now take place from 8 a.m. to 3…
Calls for progress on Taichung airport台北時報 · 8 days agoTaichung International Airport has struggled to keep pace with growing demand for tourism and business travel, while its joint military-civilian use has constrained efforts to expand the airport, legislators said. The airport is a key…
Taichung touted as future robotics and drone hub台北時報 · 11 days agoDeputy Legislative Speaker Johnny Chiang (江啟臣), the Chinese Nationalist Party’s (KMT) candidate for Taichung mayor, yesterday touted the city’s potential to become a global hub for robotics and drone manufacturing, while saying that…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCentral Election Commission of Taiwan

Trading closesNov 28, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$1.6K (4,190 contracts)

Today$55

This week$552

At stake$1.5K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Ho Hsin-chun wins the 2026 Taichung mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions