Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jan 1, 2028 · $3.5K today · $60.1K traded · $21.5K at stake · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

71%Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson71%▼ 7
Ulf Kristersson19%▲ 2
Ebba Busch4%▲ 1
Jimmie Åkesson1%

How the odds have moved

Magdalena Andersson: 78% on Oct 20, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Magdalena Andersson	71%	▼ 7	70¢	71¢	$1.41	62.3K
Ulf Kristersson	19%	▲ 2	18¢	19¢	$5.26	86.3K
Ebba Busch	4%	▲ 1	2¢	6¢	$16.67	4.3K
Jimmie Åkesson	1%			1¢	$100.00	2.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prime Minister of Sweden, Magdalena Andersson, Ulf Kristersson

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Swedish Liberal leader vows to block Magdalena Andersson as prime ministerThe Local Sweden · 5 days agoCentre Party leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has been tasked with exploring the prospects for her party's stated ideal: a centrist government led by Social Democrat leader Magdalena Andersson. But the Liberals have already discarded her…
Sweden Politics Explained, Who Holds Power in 2026The Rio Times · 23 h agoSweden’s 2026 parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left majority, with the centre-left bloc holding 176 of 349 seats in the Riksdag, the national legislature. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s government resigned after the…
Inside Sweden: Why force foreigners to leave Sweden to change their residency permit?The Local Sweden · 43 h agoRichard Orange suggests that Sweden should stop splitting couples and families by forcing people to leave Sweden when applying for residency on new grounds, before running through the week's news. The former Northvolt worker Brenda…
Look forward to developing progress with Sweden in defence, emerging technologies, people-to-people connect: Indian envoySocial News XYZ · 4 days agoHome » Defence » Look forward to developing progress with Sweden in defence, emerging technologies, people-to-people connect: Indian envoy Posted By: Gopi October 22, 2026 Stockholm, Oct 22 (SocialNews.XYZ) India's Ambassador to Sweden…
In Sweden, the Radical Right Lost, but the Country Has Not Turned LeftThe Good Men Project · 3 days agoBy Vladyslav Butenko, The Loop Vladyslav Butenko argues that the results of the 2026 Swedish general election – a narrow-margin win for the ‘red-green’ bloc – signals not so much a retreat of the far right as how completely its policy…
President Tharman to make state visit to Sweden from Oct 17 to 21CNA · 5 days agoThis will be the first state visit to Sweden by a Singapore president. President Tharman Shanmugaratnam speaks on Sep 5, 2025. SINGAPORE: President Tharman Shanmugaratnam will make a state visit to Sweden - the first by a Singapore…
Singapore, Sweden deepen clean-energy cooperationSingapore Business Review · 5 days agoThe two sides will also deepen exchanges on regional energy interconnectivity, which could support the movement of low-carbon electricity across national borders. The cooperation builds on a memorandum on energy cooperation signed during…
World needs ‘bridge builders’ to make the transition to new multipolar order: President TharmanThe Straits Times · 5 days agoPresident Tharman said bridge builders will come from among nations of different sizes. During the state visit to Sweden, he met Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (right). Published Oct 21, 2026, 06:38 PM Updated Oct 21, 2026, 09:27 PM…
Sweden Democrat leader invites Centre Party to 'no-strings-attached' talksThe Local Sweden · 7 days agoSweden Democrat leader Jimmie Åkesson has invited the Centre Party's Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist for a "no-strings-attached conversation on the parliamentary situation", posting an open letter on X. The open letter comes as Moderate leader…
What does Centre Party leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist really want?The Local Sweden · 6 days agoIn this week's Politics in Sweden, Richard Orange argues that only one question really matters at this stage of government negotiations: the true wishes of the Centre Party and its leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist. In the weeks ahead…
Singapore, Sweden to boost cooperation in clean energy transition, public policyThe Straits Times · 6 days ago(From left) Olle Burell, president of the Stockholm City Council, Jane Ittogi Shanmugaratnam, President Tharman Shanmugaratnam, King Carl XVI Gustaf and Queen Silvia and Emilia Bjuggren, mayor of Stockholm. Published Oct 20, 2026, 09:08 PM…
Trump condemned as he claims Russia has been ‘fine’ on Ukraineindy100 · 6 days agoUkraine has seen more than 200,000 casualties since Russia’s illegal invasion of the country in February 2022, according to the website UALosses, so when US president Donald Trump claimed on Monday that Russia has been “fine” and “haven’t…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onRiksdag

Trading closesJan 1, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$60.1K (154,864 contracts)

Today$3.5K

This week$3.3K

At stake$21.5K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions