Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
39%December 31
- June 30, 202739%▲ 13
- December 3139%▲ 3
Install
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
6%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 6% on Oct 19, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.49 | 6.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Supreme Court, Supreme Court Justice
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Supreme Court Justice Kagan warns some conservative rulings have been 'destructive of our democracy'Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan suggested Tuesday that some recent decisions by her conservative colleagues have undermined democracy, while admitting at times they had also pushed back against the Trump administration. Kagan took part… -
Supreme Court justice turns on her own court with dire warning about American democracyAmericans interviewed on Capitol Hill were split over whether the Supreme Court of the United States should expand as Congress introduces proposals to make reforms to its current size. (Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News Digital) Supreme Court… -
The Cheat Is On: Lula’s Personal Supreme Court Justice Extends Presidential Election for Two HoursThe Brazilian Presidential Election is being held today in one of Latin America’s few remaining leftist controlled countries. Socialist Lula da Silva is locked in a tight race with Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former persecuted president… -
Supreme Court of the United States news - Today’s latest updatesThe Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The Supreme Court has rejected an effort from the Trump administration to restrict some medical… -
Catherine Herridge's fight to protect confidential sources reaches Supreme CourtThe Supreme Court is considering whether to hear an appeal from former Fox News investigative reporter Catherine Herridge to protect confidential sources. Catherine Herridge's fight to protect confidential sources reaches Supreme Court The… -
What the Supreme Court Has Said About Third-Country DeportationsOct 26, 2026 at 11:33 AM EDT Oct 26, 2026 at 11:36 AM EDT The Supreme Court is preparing to decide a major challenge to the Trump administration’s use of “third-country” deportations, a practice that allows the government to remove some… -
How the conservative Supreme Court has rewritten the rules for the midtermsVoters will pick the winners of next month’s midterm elections, but it is the conservative Supreme Court that has set the rules. Long before early voting got underway to decide control of Congress, the court exerted an unusually profound… - Hillary Clinton thinks we should have 13 Supreme Court justices. Here’s why that matters.Hillary Clinton may no longer be the most influential voice in the Democratic Party, but she remains a member in good standing of the party establishment. So when she expresses support for expanding the number of justices on the Supreme…
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Connecticut Supreme Court Justice Inspires University of New Haven Volleyball Players Through Career Advice and MentorshipBy Hannah Adderly ’28 and Zaira Kearns ’28 Connecticut Supreme Court Justice Melanie L. Cradle recently met with University of New Haven volleyball student-athletes to share her professional journey, reflect on the lessons she has learned… -
Trump immigration win could strengthen admin's hand in looming Supreme Court fightSupreme Court justices will begin hearing oral arguments Monday on a wide range of cases this term involving gun rights, religious freedom, immigration detention and the limits of government power. The Trump administration scored a major… -
Briefing almost finished, WV Supreme Court justices to take center stage next in Ford caseBRIDGEPORT, W.Va. — West Virginia children can turn leftover… CHARLESTON, W.Va. — As West Virginia pursues billions of dol… The state Supreme Court hasn’t yet indicated if it will hear oral arguments or just rule in writing in the City of… -
Second Amendment fight moves beyond guns with Supreme Court poised for big rulingNational Association for Gun Rights President Dudley Brown says the AR-15 ban before the Supreme Court could shape challenges to restrictions on automatic knives, body armor, magazines and other defensive equipment. Two federal court…
Related markets
All supreme court & courts ›Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
41%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar41%▲ 1
- Cassidy Hutchinson25%▼ 2
- John Brennan21%▲ 1
40 more
- Fani Willis14%
- Anthony Fauci14%
- Gustavo Petro14%▲ 3
- Kimberly Guilfoyle13%▲ 6
- Dan J. Sullivan12%▼ 3
- Jack Smith11%
- Lisa Cook10%
- Keith Ellison10%
- James Clapper10%
- Andrew Weissmann10%
- Gavin Newsom10%
- Peter Strzok9%
- Hunter Biden9%
- Miles Taylor9%▲ 1
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%
- Tucker Carlson8%▲ 4
- Chris Krebs8%
- Lisa Monaco8%▲ 2
- George Soros8%▲ 4
- Tim Walz8%
- E. Jean Carroll8%▼ 1
- Alvin Bragg7%
- Letitia James6%
- Jacob Frey6%
- Pam Bondi6%
- Mark Milley6%
- Elissa Slotkin6%
- Mark Kelly6%
- Liz Cheney6%
- Joe Kent6%
- Leon Black6%
- Chris Christie5%
- Christopher Wray5%
- Adam Schiff5%▼ 2
- Reid Hoffman5%
- Barack Obama4%▲ 1
- Jerome Powell4%▼ 1
- Hillary Clinton3%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton3%
- Joe Biden3%
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
23%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 20264%
- December 31, 202723%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
Jun 26, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202725%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202728%▼ 4
- Before Jul 1, 202752%▲ 9
2 more
- Before Oct 1, 202755%▼ 7
- Before Jan 1, 202856%▼ 12
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Who will be arrested in 2026?
37%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar37%▲ 4
- John Brennan22%▼ 2
- Mahmoud Khalil17%▲ 2
22 more
- Anthony Fauci9%
- James Clapper8%
- Letitia James8%
- Lisa Cook6%
- Susan Rice6%
- Tom Homan5%▼ 4
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Lee Jae Myung5%▼ 1
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%
- Candace Owens5%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Bill Clinton4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Gavin Newsom3%
- John Kerry3%
- Pam Bondi3%
- Adam Schiff3%▼ 4
- Kash Patel3%
- Brandon Johnson3%
- Loretta Lynch3%
- Barack Obama2%
- Joe Biden2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions