Brazil Presidential Election
97%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva97%▲ 81
- Flávio Bolsonaro3%▼ 81
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Next Serbian presidential election winner? (2026)
The odds
94%Student-backed candidate
- Student-backed candidate94%▲ 27
- SNS-backed candidate39%
How the odds have moved
Student-backed candidate: 49% on Oct 20, 94% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 6 PM ETStudent-backed candidate: 63% → 94%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Student-backed candidate | 94% | ▲ 27 | 50¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 2.8K |
| SNS-backed candidate | 39% | 1¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 3.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Serbian
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Serbian Americans head to consulate in Chicago to vote in Serbia's electionOctober 25, 2026 / 9:48 AM CDT / CBS/AP Sunday was election day in Serbia, and hundreds of Serbian Americans from across the Midwest cast their votes in Chicago in the middle of the night. Hundreds of Serbian Americans who haven't voted in… -
Early reports suggest record high turnout in Serbia electionsPeople queue outside a polling station in Novi Sad, Serbia's second-largest city Early reports suggest Serbian voters have turned out in large numbers for the country's election, as a student protest movement attempts to end the rule of… -
Hundreds of Serbian Americans vote for parliamentary elections from ChicagoSunday was election day in Serbia, and hundreds of Serbian Americans from across the Midwest cast their votes in Chicago in the middle of the night. One of those voters, Marko Teofilovic, joins Suzanne Le Mignot remotely. Hundreds of… -
European student protests take aim at Serbia's electionsStudents have been protesting across Europe. In Serbia, they've selected candidates to run for parliament in Sunday's elections. And they're aiming to end 14 years of government by the populist leader Aleksandar Vucic. European student… -
Serbia votes as students seek to unseat Aleksandar Vucic in snap electionBELGRADE — Serbia is voting on Sunday as a mass student protest movement seeks to unseat long-time populist leader Aleksandar Vucic in the biggest challenge to his rule for more than a decade. The snap parliamentary elections, called by… -
Thousands of Serbian Americans to vote in critical parliamentary electionFor two years now, Serbia has seen mass protests led by young people demanding change after a decade and a half under the increasingly authoritarian rule of Aleksandar Vucic. They are demanding political change, with many students running… -
Serbia votes as strongman Vučić faces grassroots challenge to 12-year rule – Europe liveThe Student List movement is taking on authoritarian leader following nearly two years of protests against government and institutional corruption What is at stake in Serbia’s election? He served as Milošević’s information minister… -
Student movement takes Serbia's Vučić to the wire in neck-and-neck electionIf Sunday's parliamentary elections really are a battle for the heart of Serbia, then who better than a cardiologist to be one of the leading figures in the race. Ilija Srdanović appears an unlikely opponent for Serbia's long-serving… -
How a leaderless student movement could topple Serbia’s autocratBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Gazela Pudar Drasko is… -
Serbia’s longtime leader faces biggest political test as students mount election challengeAleksandar Vucic says Serbia is deepening ties with Washington while balancing relations with Russia and China, standing by Israel and resisting calls to recognize Kosovo. Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic resigned from the presidency in… -
Friday briefing: How a leaderless student group is challenging power in SerbiaIn today’s newsletter: Born from the fury surrounding the deadly Novi Sad station collapse, Serbia’s Student List has taken its protests all the way to the elections in an unprecedented grassroots campaign Good morning. As waves of… -
Patriarch of Serbia urged peace and respect for election results in SerbiaPatriarch Porfirije of Serbia called on citizens to vote according to their conscience and accept the outcome of the parliamentary elections peacefully, in a message issued on Sunday, October 25, 2026. “Today is an important day for Serbia…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions