Texas Senate winner? (2026)
63%James Talarico
- James Talarico63%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton38%▼ 1
Install
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? (2027)
The odds
49%Chuck Schumer
- Chuck Schumer49%
- John Thune30%
- Chris Van Hollen9%▲ 1
- Brian Schatz7%
- John Barrasso4%
- Tom Cotton3%
How the odds have moved
Chuck Schumer: 49% on Oct 20, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 49% | 47¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 5.4K | |
| John Thune | 30% | 27¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 1.7K | |
| Chris Van Hollen | 9% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 474 |
| Brian Schatz | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.5K | |
| John Barrasso | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 360 | |
| Tom Cotton | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 815 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Majority Leader, Chuck Schumer, John Thune
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All senate ›2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▲ 1
- D-House, R-Senate27%▼ 1
- Republicans sweep10%▼ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%▲ 1
- Republican Party37%▼ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
63%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)63%
- Ken Paxton (R)37%▼ 2
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
68%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed68%▼ 1
- Mike Rogers32%▼ 1
Maine Senate winner? (2026)
63%Troy Jackson
- Troy Jackson63%▲ 3
- Susan Collins37%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.