Texas Senate winner? (2026)
62%James Talarico
- James Talarico62%
- Ken Paxton39%
Install
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
The odds
33%Summer Lee
- Summer Lee33%
- Chris Deluzio20%▲ 1
- Conor Lamb14%
- Brendan Boyle12%
- John Fetterman8%
- Susan Wild6%
- Chris Rabb5%
- Bob Casey Jr.3%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Lee | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 4.1K | |
| Chris Deluzio | 20% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 4.6K |
| Conor Lamb | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 1.0K | |
| Brendan Boyle | 12% | 10¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 3.7K | |
| John Fetterman | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 702 | |
| Susan Wild | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 601 | |
| Chris Rabb | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 490 | |
| Bob Casey Jr. | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 277 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania Democratic Senate, Summer Lee, Chris Deluzio
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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All senate ›2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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Texas Senate Election Winner
62%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)62%▼ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)39%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%
- Republican Party38%
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
57%Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
- Oil ≥ $85; D Senate57%▼ 2
- Oil ≥ $85; R Senate31%
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1 more
- Oil < $85; R Senate3%▲ 2
Minnesota Senate winner? (2026)
86%Peggy Flanagan
- Peggy Flanagan86%▲ 1
- Michele Tafoya14%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.