Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
Install
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?
The odds
41%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez41%
- Chuck Schumer36%
- Zohran Mamdani5%
How the odds have moved
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 53% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 45% → 37%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 41% | 39¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 13.2K | |
| Chuck Schumer | 36% | 34¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 7.8K | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 402 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Democratic Senate, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Chuck Schumer
Search ›-
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani's 'puppet' during New York campaign rallyRepublican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Republican New York… -
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the… -
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns for Troy Jackson, touts shared progressive valuesPORTLAND, Maine - Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) traveled to Maine on Thursday to take the stage with Senate candidate Troy Jackson in Portland. The two took several questions from college students at the event hosted by “More… -
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez appeals to Maine women at rally with Troy JacksonPORTLAND, Maine — U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez urged Maine women to back Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Troy Jackson at a Portland town hall Thursday, arguing health care and families would be best served by ousting Republican Sen… -
Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmakingFox Business Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmaking 'The Big Money Show' criticizes New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for prioritizing social media over passing laws. The panel debates the rise of… -
New Yorkers face ticking clock under Mayor Zohran Mamdani's new public bathroom initiativeNew York City architect Margot Kleinman breaks down Mayor Zohran Mamdani's rollout of 17 high-tech Throne Labs public toilets across the five boroughs, featuring QR-code access and 10-minute time limits. New Yorkers face ticking clock… -
Zohran Mamdani Faces Backlash From Pro-Palestinian Protesters at October 7 VigilZohran Mamdani is facing a political nightmare after furious protesters confronted him at an October 7 memorial vigil in New York City. Some activists from the movement that helped fuel his political rise are now calling him a TRAITOR… -
Zohran Mamdani’s Garba In NYC Goes Viral; Shares Pics From Navratri & Durga Puja CelebrationsThe 100th birthday Dr. Vikram Sarabhai, Father of Indian Space Programme is celebrated on the internet by remembering his achievements and through Google Doodle. Zohran Mamdaniâs Garba In NYC Goes Viral; Shares Pics From Navratri & Durga… - Republican Bruce Blakeman says rival Kathy Hochul stumping with Zohran Mamdani will be ‘boost’ to his campaignRepublican Bruce Blakeman said Thursday he was thrilled that his rival Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul will be campaigning with lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani, calling it a “big boost” for his gubernatorial campaign. “I think that the more Kathy…
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns with Troy Jackson in PortlandJackson and Ocasio-Cortez were in lockstep on many progressive policies like defunding ICE and Medicare for All. By Yimou Lee YILAN, Taiwan, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Almost all of Taiwan shut down on Friday ahead of the arrival of Typhoon…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions