Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 6, 2027 · $469 today · $8K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

76%Ulrich Siegmund
  • Ulrich Siegmund76%▼ 7
  • Sven Schulze3%
  • Armin Willingmann3%▼ 1
  • Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz2%
  • Eva von Angern2%

How the odds have moved

Ulrich Siegmund: 73% on Oct 20, 76% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 11 PM ETUlrich Siegmund: 82% → 74%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ulrich Siegmund 76% ▼ 7 73¢ 78¢ $1.28 10.2K
Sven Schulze 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 5.2K
Armin Willingmann 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 2.2K
Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz 2% 4¢ $25.00
Eva von Angern 2% 3¢ $33.33 2.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt, Ulrich Siegmund, Sven Schulze

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions