When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

Kalshi Tech › Space Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $3.8K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

54%Before 2028

Before 202854%▲ 1
Before March 202710%▼ 4
Before February 20277%
Before 20274%▼ 1
Before December 20262%
Before November 20261%

How the odds have moved

Before 2028: 55% on Oct 20, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Before 2028	54%	▲ 1	50¢	57¢	$1.75	4.6K
Before March 2027	10%	▼ 4	7¢	12¢	$8.33	7.1K
Before October 2026	7%				$14.29	11.00
Before February 2027	7%		5¢	8¢	$12.50	4.6K
Before 2027	4%	▼ 1	3¢	5¢	$20.00	6.6K
Before December 2026	2%		1¢	3¢	$33.33	3.4K
Before November 2026	1%			2¢	$50.00	812

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Rocket Lab Corporation, Neutron Neutron Launch

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFederal Aviation Administration, Rocket Lab

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$3.8K (27,220 contracts)

This week$3.8K

At stake$2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Rocket Lab CorporationRKLB · about the company52.15+1.54%
Neutron Holdings, Inc.LIME · about the company24.37−6.45%

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.