Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Supreme Court & courts Closes Dec 31 · $3.8K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 54 min ago

The odds

5%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 5% 4¢ 6¢ $15.87 77.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ghislaine Maxwell

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Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

37%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar37%▼ 5
  • Cassidy Hutchinson23%▼ 3
  • John Brennan22%▲ 1
40 more
  • Gustavo Petro15%▲ 5
  • Fani Willis13%▼ 1
  • Anthony Fauci12%▼ 2
  • Dan J. Sullivan12%▼ 2
  • Jack Smith11%
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle11%
  • Lisa Cook10%
  • James Clapper10%
  • Keith Ellison10%
  • Peter Strzok9%
  • Hunter Biden9%
  • Miles Taylor9%
  • Chris Krebs8%
  • Lisa Monaco8%▲ 2
  • Leon Black8%▲ 2
  • Tim Walz8%
  • George Soros8%▲ 1
  • Tucker Carlson7%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom7%▼ 3
  • Alvin Bragg7%
  • Pam Bondi7%▲ 1
  • E. Jean Carroll7%▼ 1
  • Andrew Weissmann7%▼ 3
  • Jennifer Siebel Newsom7%▼ 2
  • Letitia James6%
  • Jacob Frey6%
  • Adam Schiff6%▲ 2
  • Mark Milley6%
  • Elissa Slotkin6%
  • Mark Kelly6%
  • Liz Cheney6%
  • Joe Kent6%
  • Chris Christie5%
  • Christopher Wray5%
  • Reid Hoffman5%
  • Barack Obama4%
  • Jerome Powell3%
  • Hillary Clinton3%
  • Bill Clinton3%
  • Joe Biden3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $4.6K today

Who will be arrested in 2026?

28%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar28%▼ 4
  • John Brennan22%▼ 1
  • Mahmoud Khalil17%▲ 2
22 more
  • Anthony Fauci9%
  • James Clapper8%
  • Letitia James7%▼ 1
  • Adam Schiff6%▲ 3
  • Lisa Cook6%
  • Tom Homan6%▼ 4
  • Susan Rice5%
  • Lee Jun-seok5%
  • Candace Owens5%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu5%
  • Lee Jae Myung5%▼ 1
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Bill Clinton4%
  • Pam Bondi3%
  • Hillary Clinton3%
  • Gavin Newsom3%▼ 1
  • John Kerry3%
  • Kash Patel3%
  • Brandon Johnson3%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden2%
  • Loretta Lynch2%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $713 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions