Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
193.9median
160230
Median 193.9Middle half 187.0 – 200.2
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Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
The odds
9%New Zealand
- New Zealand9%
- Italy7%
- The Netherlands6%
- Finland6%
- USA6%
- Greece6%
- Switzerland5%
- Germany5%
- Austria5%
- South Korea5%
- Panama5%
- Singapore3%
1 more
- Japan3%
How the odds have moved
New Zealand: 9% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | 10.1K | |
| Italy | 7% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $10.75 | 14.4K | |
| The Netherlands | 6% | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 6.0K | |
| Finland | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $11.90 | 10.5K | |
| USA | 6% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | 7.0K | |
| Greece | 6% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | 7.3K | |
| Switzerland | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $10.64 | 6.9K | |
| Germany | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 6.6K | |
| Austria | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 8.8K | |
| South Korea | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | 484 | |
| Panama | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | 6.7K | |
| Singapore | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | 946 | |
| Japan | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 15.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Palestine, New Zealand, The Netherlands
Search ›-
New Zealand avoid massive World Cup shock against FijiNew Zealand are the joint most successful team in Women's World Cups, with three titles New Zealand women were given a World Cup "wake-up call" after they were forced to come from behind to beat debutants Fiji in their opening game. The… -
‘You reach a tipping point’: New Zealand’s strained healthcare system at centre of election battleWith care shortfalls biting across the country, the National-led coalition has been accused of letting chronic underfunding worsen Back when she was healthy, Jane Harrison worked for the community – securing money for playgrounds, getting… - Argentina vs. New Zealand (Oct 20, 2026) Live Score - ESPNLive coverage of the Argentina U17 vs. New Zealand U17 Fifa Under-17 Women's World Cup game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats.
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Netball enters brave new world as New Zealand stun AustraliaSilver Ferns win 56-50 to open Constellation Cup series Grace Nweke 40 from 41 against world No 1 Diamonds New Zealand signalled their intent to set a new netball world order after stunning the Diamonds to kick off the Constellation Cup… -
Australia squeeze past New Zealand after mid-order collapse in opening women’s T20New Zealand 162-2; Australia 165-8 | Australia win by two wickets Australia nearly make hash of run chase at North Sydney Oval Australia survived a dreadful collapse to claim a tense two-wicket victory over New Zealand in the opening… - 'Man' he's so skillful': New Zealand seamer Jacob Duffy rates Bhuvneshwar Kumar as one of the best bowlers in the worldNew Zealand pace bowler Jacob Duffy has described India's Bhuvneshwar Kumar as one of the best bowlers in the IPL after learning from him at Royal Challengers Bengaluru. Duffy expects Hagley Oval to produce T20I scores of 170 to 200 rather…
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- India's T20I record in New Zealand: Matches, wins and highest scores ahead of IND vs. NZ T20I seriesIndia arrive in New Zealand as world champions, having beaten the same opponents by 96 runs in the T20 World Cup final in Ahmedabad in March. The five-match series now shifts to the Black Caps' backyard, where the T20I history between the…
- Shubman Gill in Ranji Trophy: India captain fails miserably for Punjab weeks before New Zealand Test seriesIndia's ODI and Test captain Shubman Gill feature for Punjab against Chhattisgarh in Ranji Trophy. Shubman Gill is preparing for India's upcoming ODI and Test series against New Zealand. Gill was dimissed for 1 run in the first innings for…
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Australia v New Zealand: Bledisloe Cup rugby union international – liveUpdates as the Wallabies seek redemption against the All Blacks Any thoughts? Get in touch with an email Lonergan slots over a very good conversion to provide another reason to cheer. 52 mins: Wilson taps and runs from halfway but gets… -
‘Awesome’ New Zealand humiliate Australia with 13th consecutive win over rivalsDespite losing Jordie Barrett to a calf injury before kickoff and another centre in Quinn Tupaea early on with a concussion, the All Blacks overwhelmed the Wallabies with power, pace and precision in the opening 40 minutes. "I'm really… -
After a dominant 1st half, New Zealand beats Australia 43-21 in the 2nd Bledisloe rugby testThe Washington Post SYDNEY — The high-tempo, breadth-of-the-field game New Zealand hoped to produce in a losing effort in South Africa came to life in Australia on Saturday when the All Blacks beat the Wallabies 43-21 to sweep the…
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Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.4median
160230
Median 197.4Middle half 189.4 – 202.6
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
298median
250340
Median 298Middle half 291.8 – 306.9
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 176.3 – 200.8
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
296.9median
250340
Median 296.9Middle half 284.2 – 308.3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions