Brazil Presidential Election
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%▲ 2
Install
Philippine House winner? (2028)
The odds
41%Lakas
- Lakas41%▲ 1
- NUP18%▲ 1
- NPC14%▲ 1
- PFP13%▲ 1
- Nacionalista5%
How the odds have moved
Lakas: 41% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakas | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 2.8K |
| NUP | 18% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 3.7K |
| NPC | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 4.5K |
| PFP | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 4.6K |
| Nacionalista | 5% | 0¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 106 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Philippine House
Search ›-
Philippine House approves social media ban for children under 13Filipino children under 13 would be shut out of social media platforms under a bill the House of Representatives passed on Monday, a threshold five years lower than the one senators adopted in their own version of the measure. The Senate… - Philippine House approves restrictions for children under 13 — Channel NewsAsiaThe Philippine House of Representatives has approved a bill that provides for banning access to social media for children under the age of 13. The vote took place on October 12, and the document was backed by an overwhelming majority…
-
Philippine Lower House Passes Bill Restricting Social Media Access of MinorsIf passed into law, the country will become the fourth in Southeast Asia to introduce youth social media restrictions of some kind. The Philippine House of Representatives yesterday approved a measure barring children under the age of 13… - Philippines moves closer to restricting children’s social media accessThe Philippine House of Representatives has approved legislation that would prevent children under 13 from using social media platforms, advancing efforts to tighten online protections for minors amid growing concern over children’s health…
-
Philippine VP Duterte impeachment: Prosecutors speed up process, drop bribery chargeMon, Oct 12, 2026 | Rabi al-Thani 30, 1448 | Fajr 04:58|DXB 31.6°C The fourth and final charge of bribery against Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte in the ongoing impeachment trial has been dropped by the prosecutors, noting they have…
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
56%Student List – Students Win
- Student List – Students Win56%▲ 29
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia43%▼ 30
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
46%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%46%▲ 7
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%▼ 7
- Lula da Silva <4%19%▲ 2
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau1%▲ 1
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
69%Yashar
- Yashar69%
- Likud30%
- Together<1%▼ 1
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▲ 1
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions