Next Prince Edward Island general election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 3, 2028 · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

55%Green Party

Green Party55%▲ 1
Liberal Party30%▲ 1
PC Party15%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Green Party: 55% on Oct 19, 55% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays
Green Party	55%	▲ 1	50¢	60¢	$1.67
Liberal Party	30%	▲ 1	25¢	35¢	$2.86
PC Party	15%	▲ 1	10¢	20¢	$5.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prince Edward Island, Green Party, Liberal Party

Search ›

Strengthening Indigenous economic development and tourism in Prince Edward IslandGovernment of Canada · 4 days agoToday, Bobby Morrissey, Member of Parliament for Egmont, along with Kent MacDonald, Member of Parliament for Cardigan announced $309,000 in federal support for four Indigenous-led organizations in Prince Edward Island. The announcement was…
Basil Zempilas lays into Premier’s trip to Port Hedland while addressing Liberal Party conferenceThe West Australian · 25 h agoOpposition Leader Basil Zempilas has ripped into Roger Cook’s visit to Port Hedland as the region grapples with a child protection crisis as he addressed the Liberal Party faithful on Sunday.
Green Party Finally Wins OneCBS News · 5 days agoApril 1, 1999 / 1:31 PM EST / AP Audie Elizabeth Bock decided to run for the California Assembly with the backing of the Green Party, going up against a well-known former Oakland mayor who outspent her 20-1. Bock, whose last bid for office…
Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro from the Liberal Party (PL) attends a closing campaign rally ahead of the presidential runoff, in Rio de JaneiroThe Lufkin Daily News · 36 h agoThe Lufkin Daily News People hold up a portrait of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro during the closing presidential campaign rally of his son Flavio Bolsonaro, from the Liberal Party (PL), ahead of the presidential runoff, in Rio…
Fury as Green Party activist given 'free rein by BBC' to lambast Jewish womanDaily Mail · 36 h agoTHE BBC is under fire for allowing a Green Party activist who was accused of legitimising the October 7 massacre 'free rein' to lambast a Jewish journalist on its flagship politics show. Ashok Kumar, a professor at Birkbeck, University of…
The Green party hasn’t lost its way, it’s just broadening its appealthe Guardian · 5 days agoMarianne Gemmeke and John Ashby respond to criticism of the party and its leader, Zack Polanski The two eloquent letters on the super-rich (The problem with living in a rich man’s world, 14 October) explain perfectly why I, as a…
Kootenay-Monashee: BC Green Party candidate Connie LarochelleTrail Times · 3 days agoPublished 6:00 pm Thursday, October 22, 2026 As the BC election approaches, the Trail Times asked Kootenay-Monashee candidates a key question: What is the most important issue you want to impress upon your constituents? The four candidates…
Angus Taylor flies into Perth, set to rev up his party at Liberal Party state conferenceThe West Australian · 3 days agoAngus Taylor has also flown into Perth to rev up his troops, as internal discontent is expected to be laid bare at the party’s annual State Conference held across the weekend.
'The far-Left are clueless about the scale of the threat. They're useful idiots': Muslim former Green Party deputy leader warns Islamist subversion in our society is a danger to us allDaily Mail · 44 h agoThe former deputy leader of the Green Party has warned that the far-Left are 'clueless' about the scale of the threat that Islamist ideology poses to society. Dr Shahrar Ali, who was deputy leader between 2014 and 2016, spoke to the Daily…
‘You can work out how many decades!’ Ann Peacock on famous parents, racing, the Liberal Party – and her stalkerThe Sydney Morning Herald · 3 days agoFrom catching flying fruit on the campaign trail to board level racecourse politics, the PR powerhouse holds back little over lunch. Ann Peacock – with the same disarming directness she deploys to talk about horseracing, the Liberal Party…
Green Party’s Commitment to Social Justice and Broader Issues Defended in LettersSSBCrack News · 3 days agoAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the…
Ponders End councillor issues statement on Green Party’s controversial anti-Zionism motionEnfield Dispatch · 4 days agoAziz Yildiz says he does not support the recent ‘Zionism is racism’ motion passed by the national party at its conference this month, reports Joe Ives, Local Democracy Reporter A fourth Green councillor in Enfield has said they do not…

Related markets

All around the world ›

Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

>99%Student List – Students Win

Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 73
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 74
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%

7 more

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

>99%Lula da Silva <4%

Lula da Silva <4%>99%▲ 82
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+<1%▼ 1
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%<1%▼ 5

5 more

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%<1%▼ 36
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%<1%▼ 38
Lula da Silva 4-8%<1%▼ 1
Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
Lula da Silva 12%+<1%

Elections › Around the world

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

24%Ilija Srdanović

Ilija Srdanović24%▲ 14
Aleksandar Vučić1%▼ 67
Vladan Đokić<1%▼ 1

7 more

Ivica Dačić<1%
Ana Brnabić<1%
Stefan Krkobabić<1%
Miloš Vučević<1%
Đuro Macut<1%
Branimir Jovanović<1%
Dragan Đilas<1%

Elections › Around the world

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

73%Yashar

Yashar73%▲ 1
Likud27%▼ 2
Together<1%

3 more

Shas<1%
The Democrats<1%
Otzma Yehudit<1%

Elections › Around the world

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

98%Iotova <10%

Iotova <10%98%▲ 75
Gyurov 20-30%1%
Iotova 30-40%<1%▼ 1

6 more

Iotova 40%+<1%
Gyurov 30%+<1%▼ 1
Iotova 10-20%<1%▼ 68
Iotova 20-30%<1%▼ 12
Gyurov <10%<1%▼ 1
Gyurov 10-20%<1%

Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

44%Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
Édouard Philippe16%
David Lisnard14%

42 more

Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▼ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann5%▲ 1
François Hollande3%▲ 1
Bruno Retailleau2%
Éric Zemmour1%
Sarah Knafo1%
Gabriel Attal1%
Dominique de Villepin1%
Jordan Bardella1%
Sébastien Lecornu<1%
Christine Lagarde<1%
Xavier Bertrand<1%
Marion Maréchal<1%
Natacha Polony<1%
François Ruffin<1%
Ségolène Royal<1%
François Asselineau<1%
Jean Castex<1%
Laurent Wauquiez<1%
Marine Tondelier<1%
Fabien Roussel<1%
Olivier Faure<1%
Clémentine Autain<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
Michel Barnier<1%
Valérie Pécresse<1%
François Bayrou<1%
Élisabeth Borne<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
Gérald Darmanin<1%
Carole Delga<1%
Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
Manuel Bompard<1%
Mathilde Panot<1%
Juan Branco<1%
Clémence Guetté<1%
Karim Bouamrane<1%
Lucie Castets<1%
Yannick Jadot<1%
François Baroin<1%
Anasse Kazib<1%
Sylvain Durif<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onElections PEI

Trading closesOct 3, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Green Party wins the next Prince Edward Island general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions