Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▲ 1
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%
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Turkish general election winner? (2028)
The odds
72%AKP
- AKP72%
- CHP18%
- DEM3%
- MHP3%
How the odds have moved
AKP: 72% on Oct 20, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKP | 72% | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 1.3K | |
| CHP | 18% | 0¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 7.5K | |
| DEM | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.00 | |
| MHP | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Turkish
Search ›- Carney’s next stop: TurkeyA daily look inside Canadian politics and power. By ZI-ANN LUM and NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY 10/22/2026 06:02 AM EDT Send tips | Email Canada Playbook | Follow Politico Canada Thanks for reading our Playbook. — The PM’s search for new allies…
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Thousands protest crackdown on media in TurkeyThousands rallied in Istanbul and Ankara yesterday against what they described as growing pressure on journalists in Turkey, including arrests, media shutdowns and the appointment of state administrators. Press freedom has been… -
Big Chill Between Turkey and AzerbaijanDiplomatic relations between Turkey and Azerbaijan have deteriorated sharply following an address by Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev asserting sovereign independence, which Ankara has interpreted as a rebuke of Turkish influence. The… -
Journalists protest censorship in 10 Turkish citiesISTANBUL — Journalists, press organizations and supporting unions protested censorship in 10 Turkish cities on October 24, 2026, demanding the release of imprisoned colleagues and an end to pressure on news reporting, BBC News Türkçe… -
Turkey jails opposition mayor, son in corruption probeTurkey jails 15 more in fund scandal, taking total to 114 IMF finds Turkey wealth fund omits audit from website disclosures Turkey jails opposition mayor, son in corruption probe Goldman Sachs warns Turkey’s $30 billion reserve loss could… -
Carney tours Kariye Mosque in Istanbul before departing TurkeyPosted October 24, 2026 2:56 am. ISTANBUL — After three days spent fostering tighter economic and political ties with Turkey, Prime Minister Mark Carney is on his way home to Ottawa. Carney closed out his trip earlier this morning by… -
Thousands protest in Turkey over journalists' arrests, media shutdownsIstanbul (AFP) – Thousands rallied in Istanbul and Ankara on Saturday against what they described as growing pressure on journalists in Turkey, including arrests, media shutdowns and the appointment of state administrators. Issued on… -
Turkish army team wins first international military drone competitionThe Turkish Land Forces' first team won the International Best Military Drone Team Competition (BIMDTC-2026), the first event of its kind, beating Pakistan, Italy and France in the final in Ankara on Saturday. Chief of General Staff Gen… -
Turkey Calls on Greece to Recognise Elected Muftis in ThraceIn a statement issued on October 24, 2026, Turkey’s Foreign Ministry criticised Greece’s appointment process for muftis in Komotini and Xanthi, arguing that it disregards fundamental rights protected by the 1923 Treaty of Lausanne and… -
Greece protests Turkey-Libya deal on Mediterranean maritime corridorTurkey and Libya plan to redraw maritime boundaries in the Mediterranean as part of a new economic corridor. This has sparked strong protests from Greece, and has also drawn the European Union into the conflict. On Tuesday, the parliament… -
Libya Approves Maritime Deal With Turkey, Raising Tensions With GreeceOn Tuesday, the parliament of Libya unanimously approved a maritime agreement with Turkey to establish a direct maritime economic corridor between the countries. Turkey had agreed on the corridor with the UN-recognized Government of… -
Turkey to tell Yemen FM Houthi attacks on civilians ‘unacceptable’Turkey jails 15 more in fund scandal, taking total to 114 IMF finds Turkey wealth fund omits audit from website disclosures Turkey jails opposition mayor, son in corruption probe Goldman Sachs warns Turkey’s $30 billion reserve loss could…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.