Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%December 31
- October 311%
- December 314%▼ 1
Install
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year? (2026)
Settled Above 205.00A day before, traders had a median of 200.8
The last odds before it closed
—
- ✓ At least 18098%▲ 23
- ✓ At least 18597%▲ 32
- ✓ At least 19097%▲ 40
- ✓ At least 19597%▲ 43
- ✓ At least 20097%▲ 43
- ✓ At least 20596%▲ 77
How the odds have moved
At least 180: 79% on Oct 20, 76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 180 | 98% | 37.5K | ||||
| ✓ At least 185 | 97% | 28.6K | ||||
| ✓ At least 190 | 97% | 23.7K | ||||
| ✓ At least 195 | 97% | 40.8K | ||||
| ✓ At least 200 | 97% | 28.3K | ||||
| ✓ At least 205 | 96% | 23.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania
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Pennsylvania will require labels on AI-generated adsOn Thursday, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro signed the Artificial Intelligence Deceptive Advertising Act into law, requiring disclosures on AI-generated ads. The law requires any ad - whether it's a still image, video, audio, or text… -
Pennsylvania to require disclosures on AI-generated adsCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
911 dispatchers classified as first responders under new Pennsylvania lawOctober 24, 2026 / 1:56 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Under a new Pennsylvania law, 911 dispatchers are now classified as first responders, just like firefighters or police. The bill passed both chambers unanimously and was signed by Gov. Josh… -
Pennsylvania high school football scores for October 23, 2026October 23, 2026 / 10:06 PM EDT / CBS/AP Friday night football in Pennsylvania is back for another week. As the postseason slowly approaches, there are plenty of must-see Pennsylvania Interscholastic Athletic Association games, including a… -
Pennsylvania law requires delivery robots to yield to pedestrians, yet protester still faced arrestUnion workers, rideshare drivers and other protesters rallied against a D.C. proposal that would allow commercial robotaxis, warning autonomous vehicles could eliminate driving jobs. (Credit: Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News Digital) Most… -
Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservativePennsylvania voter James Shafer explains why he went from a liberal Democrat to a conservative Republican on ‘America Reports.’ ... Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservative Pennsylvania voter James Shafer explains… -
2 spas were fronts for prostitution in Pennsylvania, officials sayOctober 23, 2026 / 6:21 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Two spas in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, were fronts for prostitution, and the woman who owned them has been charged, officials said. The Pennsylvania Office of Attorney General said in a… -
Allegheny County becomes first in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave policyOctober 24, 2026 / 12:06 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh On Tuesday, Allegheny County made history as the first county in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave for workers. In an 11-4 vote, Allegheny County Council passed the plan, which was… -
Deer illegally killed at Pennsylvania elementary school, Game Commission saysDecember 3, 2025 / 5:53 PM EST / CBS Pittsburgh A white-tailed deer was illegally killed in Northampton County over the weekend, the Pennsylvania Game Commission said. The Game Commission's Operation Game Thief said in a Facebook post on… -
Poverty simulation gives Pennsylvania participants glimpse of life on tight budgetCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Poverty… -
Working-class voters could play key role in Pennsylvania House racesPennsylvania voter James Shafer discusses how inflation, rising gas prices and the economy are affecting working-class voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘America Reports.’ ... Working-class voters could play key role in… -
Beloved Pennsylvania high school football coach dies after mid-game medical emergency in tragedyEd Dawson, a Pennsylvania high school football coach, died Friday night mid-game after suffering a medical emergency, according to reports. Cornell High School superintendent Dr. Aaron Thomas said Dawson was transported from Rochester High…
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All tech & science ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
85%Google
- Google85%▼ 5
- Anthropic13%▲ 5
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
54%Anthropic
- Anthropic54%▲ 4
- Google36%▼ 5
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
54%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3154%▼ 17
- October 2717%▲ 2
- October 2911%▲ 8
11 more
- October 264%▼ 1
- October 284%▲ 1
- October 303%▲ 2
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 5, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3146%▲ 16
- December 3194%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions