Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
194.3median
160230
Median 194.3Middle half 187.0 – 200.3
Install
Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions?
The odds
45%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202713%
- Before Jul 1, 202745%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 13% on Oct 19, 13% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 2.6K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ontario, U.S.-produced, LCBO
Search ›-
U.S. produce imports from Mexico fall US$470 million through August 2026U.S. produce imports from Mexico, including fresh, frozen, and processed fruits, vegetables, and nuts, totaled US$18.1 billion in 2025. Through August 2026, import values were US$470 million below the corresponding 2025 period and US$335… -
Why does the U.S. produce so much trash?Despite accounting for just 4% of the global population, the United States produces 12% of the world's trash. Our new report out today, Trash in America, examines how much trash is produced in the United States, the impact that all of this… -
Ontario Heads to the Polls Amid Tight Toronto Mayoral RaceMunicipal election day has arrived in Ontario, giving residents province-wide the chance to cast their votes for the local leaders who will represent their communities. Chow just finished serving her first term as the city’s mayor after… -
Voters across Ontario head to the polls for municipal electionsBy The Canadian Press and News Staff Posted October 26, 2026 7:20 am. It’s election day in Ontario, with voters in more than 400 municipalities set to pick their local representatives. The election is headlined by mayoral races in Toronto… -
Voters across Ontario head to the polls for 2026 municipal electionsToronto votes in tight mayoral race as Chow looks to hold off Bradford OSAP, affordability questions likely to dominate as Queen’s Park resumes sitting Hamilton GO Centre rail service resumes after stalled freight train cleared Man, 30… -
Lake Ontario: Donald Trump and the great distractionGail Krantzberg spent decades working on Great Lakes policy and protection — years before this whirlwind year of politics on both sides of the Canada-U.S. border crept into the ways the lakes are protected. In Canada, U.S. President Donald… -
Ontario moves to speed up widening Highway 69 by five yearsOntario is proposing legislation to speed up the widening of the remaining 68 kilometres Highway 69 by five years. -
FanDuel Ontario Review: App, Features & Markets October 2026In this comprehensive FanDuel Ontario review, we will break down everything you need to know about FanDuel Sportsbook Ontario, including the user experience, the banking methods, and the odds. First and foremost, though, let's give this… -
Ontario proposing changes to Blue Box recycling programThe proposed changes would give the province more power to regulate the fees that recycling organizations charge to businesses to collect and process recyclable materials. Ontario is looking at changes to its provincewide Blue Box program… -
In the news today: Tories target tanker ban, Ontario votes, OSAP falloutFederal Conservatives pitch bill that would end B.C.'s tanker ban Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has asked Prime Minister Mark Carney to repeal the oil tanker ban on British Columbia's northern coast months after Canada inked a deal… -
Ontario vs TexasStream Ontario vs Texas FloHockey Unlock this content, live events, and more with a subscription! Watch replays and highlights from 2026 Ontario Reign vs Texas Stars on FloHockey. Watch on your computer, on the FloSports Mobile App, your… -
Ontario Plans Optional Digital ID Cards, Starting With Photo CardDigital credentials would be more secure and reduce the risk of loss or theft, including identity theft, the province said. The government said that all digital credentials would be optional and that it would engage ministries and…
Related markets
All world leaders ›When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 21, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
- Before Dec 1, 20266%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 20278%▲ 1
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20278%▼ 2
- Before Mar 1, 202713%
- Before Apr 1, 202720%▲ 5
- Before May 1, 202720%▼ 1
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202732%▲ 1
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202742%
- Before Dec 1, 202742%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202848%
- Before Jul 1, 202856%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.4median
160230
Median 197.4Middle half 189.6 – 202.6
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
298median
250340
Median 298Middle half 291.8 – 306.9
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 176.6 – 200.8
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
296.6median
250340
Median 296.6Middle half 284.2 – 308.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions