Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
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Ohio: Acton's margin vs. Brown's margin? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
1.86median
-20012.0
Median 1.86Middle half 0.23 – 3.97
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.36 on Oct 20, 1.86 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown by 9+ | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 459 | ||
| Brown by 6-9 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 761 |
| Brown by 3-6 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 541 |
| Brown by 0-3 | 15% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 6.6K |
| Acton by 0-3 | 46% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 2.4K |
| Acton by 3-6 | 23% | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 921 | |
| Acton by 6-9 | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.4K |
| Acton by 9+ | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio, Acton, Brown
Search ›-
In Ohio rally, Obama blasts Ramaswamy, GOP over controversial Acton ad: "No low he will not sink to"October 24, 2026 / 8:34 PM EDT / CBS/AP Former President Barack Obama on Saturday seized on what he described as cruelty and indecency coming from President Trump and his Republican allies, stepping into one of the nation's ugliest midterm… -
‘People don’t trust her’: Ohio GOP strategist outlines case against Amy Acton for governorFox News Digital spoke to attorney Mehek Cooke about Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial gubernatorial ad and why she believes Amy Acton’s record disqualifies her from leading. ‘People don’t trust her’: Ohio GOP strategist outlines case… -
Obama Tests His Midwest Magic With Michigan, Ohio Stops for El-Sayed, BrownOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Former President Barack Obama returns to Michigan and Ohio on Saturday to test his enduring political pull in two crucial Rust Belt states where he won two decisive victories, entering the fray just 10 days… -
Barack Obama blasts Trump, touts Acton and Brown during Ohio rallyFormer President Barack Obama ripped into President Donald Trump in Cleveland on Oct. 24 as Democrats aim to energize voters ahead of a close midterm election in Ohio. Obama joined former Sen. Sherrod Brown and Democratic gubernatorial… -
Obama joins Sherrod Brown, Amy Acton at 'Fighting for Ohio’ rally in ClevelandPresident Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Perry, Georgia CLEVELAND, Ohio (WSYX) — Former President Barack Obama joined Democratic candidates Sherrod Brown and Amy Acton in Cleveland on Saturday for a rally aimed at building… -
Obama rallies with Acton, Brown in Cleveland as both parties ramp up Ohio campaignsCLEVELAND — Former President Barack Obama rallied thousands of supporters in downtown Cleveland on Saturday to back Democratic gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton and U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown just 10 days before Election Day. The… -
John Legend to Appear With Democratic Ohio Gov. Candidate Amy Acton Amid Backlash Against Opponent’s ‘Deeply Troubling’ AdPresident Trump has lashed out at the criticism of former DOGE architect Vivek Ramaswamy's spot featuring Acton's long-estranged mother disparaging her daughter. John Legend will throw his hat into the ring for Ohio gubernatorial candidate… -
Ohio Republican Gov. DeWine urges Ramaswamy to take down Acton attack adSeveral Ohio Republicans on the ballot have come out against GOP gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy's attack ad featuring the estranged mother of Amy Acton, his Democratic opponent. CBS News chief Washington correspondent Major Garrett… -
Ohio Governor Urges Ramaswamy to Remove Amy Acton Attack Ad: ‘Just Wrong’Oct 22, 2026 at 11:28 AM EDT Ohio Governor Mike DeWine called on Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy to take down advertisements featuring the mother of Democratic candidate Amy Acton. DeWine, a Republican, told reporters it… -
Ohio Governor Race Shifts in Amy Acton’s Favor Following Attack AdOct 22, 2026 at 10:26 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT The race for Ohio governor has shifted in Democrat Amy Acton’s favor, with Sabato’s Crystal Ball moving the contest from Toss-up to Leans Democratic after Republican Vivek… -
'This is despicable': Amy Acton responds to Ohio attack ad featuring her estranged motherAmy Acton, the Democratic candidate for governor of the US state of Ohio, has called an attack ad against her that features her estranged mother "despicable". Acton commented on the campaign ad from her Republican opponent, Vivek… -
MK Pritzker donates $500K to Amy Acton's Ohio governor campaign after Ramaswamy attack adsCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. MK Pritzker donates $500K…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions