New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? (Before Nov 7, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 7, 2027 · $4 today · $2.9K traded · $1.8K at stake · prices read 48 min ago

The odds

52%Christopher Luxon
  • Christopher Luxon52%
  • Chris Hipkins41%▲ 1
  • Chlöe Swarbrick1%
  • David Seymour<1%
  • Winston Peters<1%
  • Marama Davidson<1%
  • Debbie Ngarewa-Packer<1%
  • Rawiri Waititi<1%
  • Qiulae Wong<1%
  • Nicola Willis<1%
  • Chris Bishop<1%
  • Erica Stanford<1%
2 more
  • Simeon Brown<1%
  • Mark Mitchell<1%

How the odds have moved

Christopher Luxon: 52% on Oct 20, 52% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Christopher Luxon 52% 51¢ 61¢ $1.64 3.6K
Chris Hipkins 41% ▲ 1 40¢ 49¢ $2.04 1.6K
Chlöe Swarbrick 1% 3¢ $33.33 1.4K
David Seymour <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Winston Peters <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.0K
Marama Davidson <1% 1¢ $100.00 871
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer <1% 1¢ $100.00 871
Rawiri Waititi <1% 1¢ $100.00 871
Qiulae Wong <1% 1¢ $100.00 871
Nicola Willis <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.0K
Chris Bishop <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
Erica Stanford <1% 1¢ $100.00 871
Simeon Brown <1% 1¢ $100.00 871
Mark Mitchell <1% 1¢ $100.00 871

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Zealand Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, Chris Hipkins

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions