Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
73%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%73%
- Falls to 6.5%23%
- Falls to 6.25%17%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
Install
New York City rent increase in 2026
The odds
5.57%median
-1%8%
Median 5.57%Middle half 4.51% – 6.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.56% on Oct 20, 5.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 222 | |
| Above 1% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 101 | |
| Above 2% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 9.00 | |
| Above 3% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 369 | |
| Above 4% | 85% | 82¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 1.5K | |
| Above 5% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 139 | |
| Above 6% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 1.5K | |
| Above 7% | 16% | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 32.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York City
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Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the… -
New York City votes to ban horse-drawn carriagesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. NYC votes to ban… -
New York City mayoral contender Zellnor Myrie out with first TV adThe candidates are looking to make a dent in Andrew Cuomo's significant lead in the polls. Brooklyn state Sen. Zellnor Myrie is releasing his first TV ad of the mayor's race Tuesday. | Courtesy of state Sen. Zellnor Myrie's office… -
New York city council votes to ban horse-drawn carriage ridesCity’s council passed Romanch’s Law, named after teen who died when he was ejected from carriage earlier this year The New York city council has voted to ban horse-drawn carriage rides in the city by 2028 in a decision that has widespread… -
New York City Council passes bill to ban horse-drawn carriage rides within 2 yearsUpdated on: October 22, 2026 / 6:08 PM EDT / CBS New York The New York City Council passed a bill banning horse-drawn carriage rides in the city by 2028. Lawmakers voted Thursday afternoon on Romanch's Law. The legislation is named after… -
New York City Makes Syringe Redemption Program PermanentNew York City has permanently extended its Community Syringe Redemption Program after participants collected more than 3.5 million used syringes from public spaces during the program’s first year and a half, the city’s Health Department… -
New York City councilwoman on passage of bill banning horse-drawn carriagesNPR's Leila Fadel speaks with New York City Councilwoman Joann Ariola about her vote against a bill banning horse-drawn carriages in the city. New York City councilwoman on passage of bill banning horse-drawn carriages NPR's Leila Fadel… -
New York City Bans The Sale Of Foie Gras, Will Punish Businesses Offering Food From Force-Fed AnimalsOctober 30, 2019 / 10:21 PM EDT / CBS New York NEW YORK (CBSNewYork/AP) — The New York City Council has voted to ban the sale of foie gras — the fattened liver of a duck — served in fine restaurants and gourmet groceries across the city… -
Gun charge against New York City Councilwoman Inna Vernikov dropped by Brooklyn DAUpdated on: November 17, 2023 / 5:49 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK -- The charge against New York City Council Member Inna Vernikov, who was arrested for bringing a gun to a rally over the Israel-Hamas war, has been dropped by the… -
Magshimey Herut North America and Herut New York City announce Jewish resilience seminarHerut New York City and Magshimey Herut North America will host the NYC Jewish Resilience Seminar on Sunday, Nov. 15, from 11 a.m. to 5 p.m. in Manhattan, bringing together experts in journalism, antisemitism, Jewish and Zionist education… -
Match report: Orlando City draws 2-2 with New York City FCORLANDO, Fla. (Oct. 24, 2026) — Orlando City SC (12-13-6, 42 points) played to a 2-2 draw with New York City FC (8-12-11, 35 points) on Saturday night at Inter.co Stadium. The visitors opened the scoring in the 18th minute when Alonso…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions