Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
35%December 31
- June 30, 202735%▲ 1
- December 3135%▲ 3
Install
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
The odds
15%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Dec 1, 20264%
- Before Jan 1, 202715%
- Before Jul 1, 202715%
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 6% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 9.2K | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 15% | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.4K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 937 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Written
Search ›-
Letter making claims about Meghan's father written by his first wife, BBC understandsA letter sent to the Metropolitan Police making a number of claims relating to the Duchess of Sussex's father was written by his ex-wife Roslyn Loveless, the BBC understands. Meghan confirmed on Friday she had previously been informed… -
Letter making claims about Meghan's father written by his ex-wife, BBC understandsA letter sent to the Metropolitan Police making a number of claims relating to the Duchess of Sussex's father was written by his ex-wife Roslyn Loveless, the BBC understands. Meghan confirmed on Friday she had previously been informed… -
The Kansas City Chiefs’ breakout player is a guy written off as a bust by manyThe Chiefs gathered to watch film last week, sequencing play after play, when defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo saw something that prompted him to stop the tape. He pointed first to the line of scrimmage, paused the video, and then… -
Written Statement: Budget AgreementGOV.WALES uses cookies which are essential for the site to work. Non-essential cookies are also used to tailor and improve services. By continuing to use this site, you agree to our use of cookies. First Minister, Eluned Morgan MS This was… -
India Has Written New Chapter In Global Economic Rise, Says Yogi AdityanathUttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath on Sunday said India has emerged as a major economic force globally, crediting Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership for the country’s progress in growth, self-reliance and innovation. In a… - Written Rhetoric EnglishFind all the resources you need to become an outstanding writer. Characteristics of good writingNeed to know what it takes to write a successful academic paper at Calvin? Check out the characteristics of good writing. Minnaar AwardsThe…
-
Under PM Modi, India has written a new chapter in economic strength: CMChief minister Yogi Adityanath on Sunday appreciated the economic growth that the country has achieved under Prime Minister Narendra Modi and accused certain forces of attempting to push the country towards instability and separatism for… -
The agent pasted the top-voted answer, but it was written for v1A deprecation warning surfaced in a config path we rarely touch, so we dropped the message into the agent and asked for a fix. It came back with a tidy snippet: guard the call, fall back to the older method, add a one-line comment… -
ColdCraft Studio: Personalized Cold Emails, Written Locally for $0Everyone has received the cold email that opens with "I hope this email finds you well." It goes straight to the trash. ColdCraft Studio fixes that. Give it a company's website URL and a short description of what you offer, and it writes a… -
Marvel’s ‘Zodiac’ Spy Series To Be Written By Amit Cohen & Ron LeshemFollowing the news that Marvel has the spy thriller series Zodiac in the works at Disney+, Amit Cohen and Ron Leshem have been set as the show’s writers, we hear. When the new show was announced on October 8, details were scant. The story… -
The 401 Retry Bug: Auditing an Agent-Written Backoff Loop With a Fake ServerAt 9:04 a.m. a reviewer opens a pull request titled "add exponential backoff". The diff is 62 lines long. CI is green. The code reads like a textbook. It also retries a 401 six times. Along the way it sleeps about 63 seconds. That pattern… -
A Checklist for Reviewing Pull Requests Written by AI Coding AgentsCoding agents made writing a pull request cheap. They didn't make reviewing one cheaper. If anything, review is now the bottleneck. The queue that grows fastest isn't unstarted work any more; it's finished work that nobody has reviewed…
Related markets
All supreme court & courts ›Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
42%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar42%▼ 4
- Cassidy Hutchinson25%▼ 4
- John Brennan21%▼ 1
40 more
- Fani Willis14%
- Anthony Fauci14%▼ 1
- Dan J. Sullivan13%▼ 4
- Kimberly Guilfoyle12%▲ 5
- Jack Smith11%
- Gustavo Petro11%
- Lisa Cook10%
- Keith Ellison10%
- James Clapper10%
- Andrew Weissmann10%
- Gavin Newsom10%
- Peter Strzok9%
- Hunter Biden9%
- Miles Taylor9%▲ 2
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%
- Tucker Carlson8%▲ 4
- Chris Krebs8%
- Tim Walz8%
- E. Jean Carroll8%▲ 1
- George Soros7%▲ 3
- Alvin Bragg7%
- Lisa Monaco7%
- Letitia James6%
- Jacob Frey6%
- Pam Bondi6%
- Mark Milley6%
- Elissa Slotkin6%
- Mark Kelly6%
- Liz Cheney6%
- Joe Kent6%
- Leon Black6%
- Chris Christie5%
- Christopher Wray5%
- Adam Schiff5%▼ 2
- Reid Hoffman5%
- Barack Obama4%▲ 1
- Jerome Powell4%▼ 1
- Hillary Clinton3%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton3%
- Joe Biden3%
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
23%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 20264%
- December 31, 202723%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
Aug 13, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202723%▲ 4
- Before Apr 1, 202727%▼ 5
- Before Jul 1, 202745%▲ 1
2 more
- Before Oct 1, 202756%▲ 4
- Before Jan 1, 202856%▼ 14
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Who will be arrested in 2026?
33%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar33%▲ 4
- John Brennan23%▲ 1
- Mahmoud Khalil17%▲ 2
22 more
- Anthony Fauci9%
- James Clapper8%
- Letitia James8%
- Lisa Cook6%
- Lee Jae Myung6%▼ 1
- Tom Homan5%▼ 3
- Susan Rice5%▼ 1
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Candace Owens5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Bill Clinton4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Gavin Newsom3%
- Adam Schiff3%▼ 3
- Pam Bondi3%
- John Kerry3%
- Kash Patel3%
- Brandon Johnson3%▼ 1
- Loretta Lynch3%
- Barack Obama2%
- Joe Biden2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions