Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner? (October 26, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 26, 2027 · $635 traded · $240 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

60%Erwin Wiens

Erwin Wiens60%
Andrea Kaiser32%
Vaughn Goettler6%

How the odds have moved

Erwin Wiens: 59% on Oct 19, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Erwin Wiens	60%	56¢	64¢	$1.56	376
Andrea Kaiser	32%	27¢	36¢	$2.78	1.3K
Vaughn Goettler	6%	1¢	11¢	$9.09

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Niagara-on-the-Lake, Erwin Wiens, Andrea Kaiser

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Niagara-on-the-Lake voters at last advance poll before Oct. 26 talk development, planning, patiosNiagara Now · 4 days agoEarly voting gave some Niagara-on-the-Lake residents peace of mind, while others saw it as an opportunity to make their voices heard ahead of election day. During the town’s second advance voting session Saturday, crowds lined up at the…
Restrictions lifted, Niagara-on-the-Lake candidates allowed to canvass at long-term care homeNiagara Now · 4 days agoNiagara-on-the-Lake council candidate Steve McGuinness wants to canvass residents in long-term care and condominium buildings ahead of Monday’s municipal election, but he says access restrictions have made it difficult. As of Wednesday…
Editorial: Pros and cons of Niagara-on-the-Lake's three mayoral candidatesNiagara Now · 11 days agoIt’s an interesting election year. Council is shrinking to just six voices (plus the mayor) representing taxpayers, Doug Ford is going to appoint Niagara a regional czar instead of the people electing one and give mayors superpowers to…
Four years later, Niagara-on-the-Lake voters still concerned about development, taxes and transparencyNiagara Now · 11 days agoOne new mayor, four new councillors and 1,452 days later, many of the issues facing Niagara-on-the-Lake voters in 2022 remain concerns ahead of this year’s municipal election. In its Oct. 13, 2022 election edition, The Lake Report outlined…
Signs posted in Niagara-on-the-Lake alerting drivers to ‘look out for migrant workers’CHCH · 12 days agoShrinkflation: How companies give consumers less for the same price What’s driving the popularity of self-storage units? Care package shirt sent to Canadian soldiers in Afghanistan comes full circle Health-care officials warn of street…
Letter: If we can't stop amalgamation, all other considerations become pointlessNiagara Now · 11 days agoLetter: If we can’t stop amalgamation, all other considerations become pointless Niagara Now Emotions run high during this election cycle and recent letters in The Lake Report call for change, leaders who can control development, a…
Here are 5 takeaways from the Niagara-on-the-Lake council candidates question and answer sessionsNiagaraThisWeek.com · 13 days agoNiagara-on-the-Lake councillors Gary Burroughs (left) and Adriana Vizzari were two of the five council candidates that attended a Sept. 25 forum at Crossroads Elementary School. Another forum with six candidates was held Oct. 2 at the same…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTown of Niagara-on-the-Lake Clerk

Trading closesOct 26, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$635 (1,676 contracts)

This week$138

At stake$240

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Vaughn Goettler wins the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions