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Who will be the next DNC Chair? (Before Jan 1, 2045)
The odds
14%Martin O’Malley
- Martin O’Malley14%
- Faiz Shakir14%
- David Hogg10%
- Andy Beshear7%
- Rahm Emanuel5%
- Shasti Conrad5%
- Artie Blanco4%
- Sherrod Brown3%
- Tim Walz3%
- Virginia McGregor3%
- Stacey Abrams3%
- Reyna Walters-Morgan3%
22 more
- Nate Snyder3%
- J.B. Pritzker3%
- Ro Khanna3%
- Jon Tester3%
- Laphonza Butler3%
- Jane Kleeb3%
- Howard Dean3%
- Jaime Harrison3%
- Gretchen Whitmer3%
- Jason Rae3%
- Ben Wikler3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Michael Blake3%
- Chris Korge3%
- James Skoufis3%
- Marianne Williamson3%
- Jason Paul3%
- Mitch Landrieu3%
- Quintessa Hathaway3%
- Pramila Jayapal3%
- Amanda Litman2%
- Malcolm Kenyatta1%
How the odds have moved
Martin O’Malley: 9% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin O’Malley | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 85.00 | |
| Faiz Shakir | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 304 | |
| David Hogg | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 946 | |
| Andy Beshear | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 184 | |
| Rahm Emanuel | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.49 | 197 | |
| Shasti Conrad | 5% | 0¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 497 | |
| Artie Blanco | 4% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $13.70 | 628 | |
| Sherrod Brown | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 44.00 | |
| Tim Walz | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 41.00 | |
| Virginia McGregor | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $18.87 | 14.00 | |
| Stacey Abrams | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | 232 | |
| Reyna Walters-Morgan | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 230 | ||
| Nate Snyder | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 43.00 | ||
| J.B. Pritzker | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 52.00 | ||
| Ro Khanna | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 98.00 | ||
| Jon Tester | 3% | 6¢ | $17.24 | 43.00 | ||
| Laphonza Butler | 3% | 6¢ | $17.86 | 27.00 | ||
| Jane Kleeb | 3% | 6¢ | $18.18 | 9.00 | ||
| Howard Dean | 3% | 6¢ | $18.18 | 8.00 | ||
| Jaime Harrison | 3% | 6¢ | $18.18 | 8.00 | ||
| Gretchen Whitmer | 3% | 6¢ | $18.18 | 21.00 | ||
| Jason Rae | 3% | 5¢ | $18.52 | 16.00 | ||
| Ben Wikler | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 130 | ||
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 7.00 | ||
| Michael Blake | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 7.00 | ||
| Chris Korge | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 7.00 | ||
| James Skoufis | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 8.00 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 8.00 | ||
| Jason Paul | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 10.00 | ||
| Mitch Landrieu | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 1.00 | ||
| Quintessa Hathaway | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 82.00 | |
| Pramila Jayapal | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 75.00 | |
| Amanda Litman | 2% | 5¢ | $20.83 | 41.00 | ||
| Malcolm Kenyatta | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: DNC Chair, Martin O’Malley, Faiz Shakir
Search ›-
DNC chair race kicks off, as Martin O’Malley announces bidThe former Maryland governor told POLITICO he’ll resign as head of the Social Security Administration at the end of the month. Social Security Administration commissioner Martin O'Malley testifies during a Senate Finance Committee hearing… -
Ken Martin jumps into race for DNC chairThe head of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party announced his bid Tuesday. Ken Martin (left) confirmed his candidacy in a text to POLITICO. It was first reported by the New York Times. | Nathan Howard/AP 11/19/2024 8:11 AM EST A… -
Cooked or Cooking?: JB Pritzker Says DSA Is Dems’ ‘Recipe for Winning’ Future Elections, David Hogg NodsOn Wednesday, Pritzker discussed what recent Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) primary victories mean for his party. (WATCH) Illinois is losing people, the Bears are leaving, and a billionaire heir thinks socialism is the winning… -
Former DNC Chair Jaime Harrison Says 2026 Could Mirror Democrats’ 2006 ComebackFormer Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison is urging his party to view the 2026 midterms as an opportunity similar to that of 2006, when Democrats won control of Congress during President George W. Bush’s second term… -
DNC Chair reacts to Ramaswamy’s controversial ad | CNN PoliticsDNC chair Ken Martin reacts to Vivek Ramaswamy's controversial ad featuring the estranged mother of his Democratic opponent, Amy Acton. Burlington, Ontario, mayoral candidate Lisa Kearns took on alleged vandalism of her campaign signs… -
If you suddenly got added to Jaime Harrison’s Substack, you’re not aloneFormer DNC Chair Jaime Harrison is jumping on the Substack trend, but he seems to have overlooked the fine print. The spokesperson for Substack, granted anonymity to speak freely, declined to comment ... If you suddenly got added to Jaime… -
Trump says Amy Acton is ‘fair game’ | CNN PoliticsPresident Donald Trump on Thursday called Ohio Democratic gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton “fair game” as he defended Republican Vivek Ramaswamy’s ad that features her estranged mother and ignored the abuse allegations against her… -
Tracking billionaire donations in the midterm elections | CNN PoliticsHundreds of millions of dollars from billionaires, like Elon Musk and Mike Bloomberg, are pouring into the midterms in the final weeks before Election Day. CNN's David Wright breaks down what candidates and issues are benefiting most from… -
Washington Post: Hegseth’s staff damaged historic Eisenhower globe during move | CNN PoliticsThe Washington Post reports that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s staff didn't follow the process typically overseen by trained curators and dropped a historic globe used by Dwight D. Eisenhower during World War II while moving it to… -
U.S., Israel may attack Iran post-elections. And, SpaceX and Tesla consider mergingThe U.S. and Israel are planning for a possible post-elections attack on Iran, an anonymous source tells NPR. And, Elon Musk considers merging his companies SpaceX and Tesla. U.S., Israel may attack Iran post-elections. And, SpaceX and… -
Trump says he called Google to rename Atlantic Ocean | CNN PoliticsPresident Donald Trump continues to raise renaming various bodies of water to include "America." While at a rally in South Carolina, he said he called Google CEO Sundar Pichai to rename the Atlantic Ocean because they were "really great… -
‘It’s quite beneath you’: El-Sayed responds to Rogers’ attack about Muslim Brotherhood | CNN PoliticsMichigan Senate candidates Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed had a tense exchange over accusations that El-Sayed has ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. El-Sayed, who has denounced the group, told Rogers, “It’s really quite…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions