Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
39%December 31
- June 30, 202739%▲ 12
- December 3139%▲ 3
Install
Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction? (Before 2028)
The odds
26%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 26% on Oct 19, 26% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Circuit, Nexstar-Tegna
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Clements Stampede hosts 2026 California Circuit Finals Rodeo for the first timeOctober 25, 2026 / 6:40 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento The Clements Stampede, a historic rodeo in San Joaquin County, was held for the first time in over a decade in 2025 — and just a year later, the rodeo made history for itself. The crowds that… -
Ninth Circuit questions Trump DOJ's emergency request to set aside 20,000 California mail ballotsA three-judge federal appeals panel questioned the Trump administration's emergency bid to set aside roughly 20,000 California mail ballots tied to suspected noncitizens ahead of the midterms, with a ruling pending. A federal appeals court… -
Wayne County man charged with criminal sexual conduct bound over to circuit courtOctober 24, 2026 / 1:14 PM EDT / CBS Detroit A 39-year-old man charged in an alleged sexual assault in St. Clair Shores, Michigan, in June has been bound over to circuit court, the Macomb County Prosecutor's Office said Friday. Prosecutors… -
F1 crown in reach for Kimi Antonelli at bumpy Austin circuit drivers insist is ‘unacceptable’Mercedes youngster could become youngest title winner Max Verstappen says bumpy track makes drivers ‘suffer’ The Formula One world championship is within reach for Kimi Antonelli at the US Grand Prix in Austin this weekend. But while the… -
Battles in Time: Circuit BreakerPeter is a regular contributor to Blogtor Who and has also written for Doctor Who Magazine's Cosplay feature. His art was published in BBC Books' Doctor Who: 100 Illustrated Adventures, while a number of his essays appear in the You and… -
Researchers Accelerate Quantum Circuits by up to 606xQuantum circuits can now be optimised up to 606 times faster thanks to a new approach which tackles a fundamental limitation in how calculations are simplified. By representing connections within these circuits as ‘hypergraphs’, matching… -
The Fifth Circuit Got the Law Right. Now Fix the Docket.On Friday, the full Fifth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled 10-7 that immigrants who entered illegally and were never admitted can be held without a bond hearing while their removal cases proceed. The ruling covers Texas, Louisiana and… -
Harvard University Simplifies Port-Based Teleportation CircuitsAbove all, this provides a straightforward proof validating recent findings from Nehoran, Slote, Yuen and OpenAI: any multi-qubit unitary operation can be parallelized with polynomial depth complexity. The team’s method prepares ‘Choi… -
9th Circuit questions DOJ demand to set aside 20,000 California mail ballotsA panel of federal appellate judges on Sunday questioned the timing, constitutionality and authority of the Justice Department's demand that California election officials set aside thousands of mail ballots from people the federal… -
Researchers Build Database of Configurations for 268 CircuitsIvy Delaney has been working with neural networks and machine learning since the mid-nineties, back when a couple of hidden layers and a long afternoon of training counted as ambitious. She has watched the field go from academic curiosity… -
Fifth Circuit's Switchblade Decision Creates Circuit Court SplitSwitchblade knives have long been associated with gangs of the '50s and 60s. It's the stuff of the Sharks and the Jets, not the Bloods and the Crips, but that doesn't mean that people didn't try to ban them. In fact, they were successful… -
9th Circuit panel questions basis for feds' request to block 20,000 California ballotsIn a rare Sunday hearing, a federal appeals court judge appointed by President Trump questioned how the Trump administration’s request to intervene in California’s ongoing midterm election in order to force state officials to set aside…
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All supreme court & courts ›Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
41%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar41%▲ 1
- Cassidy Hutchinson25%▼ 2
- John Brennan21%▲ 1
40 more
- Fani Willis14%
- Anthony Fauci14%
- Gustavo Petro14%▲ 3
- Kimberly Guilfoyle13%▲ 6
- Dan J. Sullivan12%▼ 3
- Jack Smith11%
- Lisa Cook10%
- Keith Ellison10%
- James Clapper10%
- Andrew Weissmann10%
- Gavin Newsom10%
- Peter Strzok9%
- Hunter Biden9%
- Miles Taylor9%▲ 1
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%
- Tucker Carlson8%▲ 4
- Chris Krebs8%
- Lisa Monaco8%▲ 2
- George Soros8%▲ 4
- E. Jean Carroll8%▼ 1
- Tim Walz7%
- Alvin Bragg7%
- Letitia James6%
- Jacob Frey6%
- Pam Bondi6%
- Mark Milley6%
- Elissa Slotkin6%
- Mark Kelly6%
- Liz Cheney6%
- Joe Kent6%
- Leon Black6%
- Chris Christie5%
- Christopher Wray5%
- Adam Schiff5%▼ 2
- Reid Hoffman5%
- Barack Obama4%▲ 1
- Jerome Powell4%▼ 1
- Hillary Clinton3%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton3%
- Joe Biden3%
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
23%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 20264%
- December 31, 202723%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
Jun 26, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202725%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202728%▼ 4
- Before Jul 1, 202752%▲ 9
2 more
- Before Oct 1, 202755%▼ 7
- Before Jan 1, 202856%▼ 12
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Who will be arrested in 2026?
37%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar37%▲ 4
- John Brennan22%▼ 2
- Mahmoud Khalil17%▲ 2
22 more
- Anthony Fauci9%
- James Clapper8%
- Letitia James8%
- Lisa Cook6%
- Susan Rice6%
- Tom Homan5%▼ 4
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Lee Jae Myung5%▼ 1
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%
- Candace Owens5%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Bill Clinton4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Gavin Newsom3%
- John Kerry3%
- Pam Bondi3%
- Adam Schiff3%▼ 4
- Kash Patel3%
- Brandon Johnson3%
- Loretta Lynch3%
- Barack Obama2%
- Joe Biden2%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions