Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
91%chance
Install
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
The odds
31,382high with an even chance
Nasdaq 100 now 28,957.53 −0.00% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 31,382.
- Reaches 30,800100%
- Reaches 31,000100%
- Reaches 31,200100%
- Reaches 31,40045%
- Reaches 31,60035%
- Reaches 31,80028%
- Reaches 32,00025%
How the odds have moved
Reaches 31,400: 52% on Oct 20, 45% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 9 PM ETReaches 31,400: 35% → 45%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30,800 or above | 100% | 99¢ | 48.7K | |||
| 31,000 or above | 100% | 99¢ | 36.8K | |||
| 31,200 or above | 100% | 99¢ | 34.5K | |||
| 31,400 or above | 45% | ▲ 10 | 42¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 15.2K |
| 31,600 or above | 35% | ▲ 6 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 11.5K |
| 31,800 or above | 28% | ▲ 3 | 26¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 9.8K |
| 32,000 or above | 25% | ▲ 3 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 54.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nasdaq, tech stocks
Search ›-
Tech stocks dropped sharply. What it means for the rest of the economyTech stocks dropped sharply Wednesday, NPR's Leila Fadel asks David Wessel of the Brookings Institution what it means. Tech stocks dropped sharply. What it means for the rest of the economy Tech stocks dropped sharply Wednesday, NPR's… -
Goldman says these top tech stocks have plenty of upside ahead of earningsGoldman Sachs said this week there are plenty of top tech companies to buy heading into their quarterly results. -
Todd Gordon is turning to this inverse Nasdaq ETF as tech stocks weakenCNBC Todd Gordon is turning to this inverse Nasdaq ETF as tech stocks weaken -
Money Shifts From Tech Stocks to U.S. Treasurys on Big Tech Credit Fears■AI PRISM [Stock News] U.S. Treasury Yield Plunges to 4.953% HD Hyundai to Build U.S. Smart Shipyard by 2029 SK hynix Withdraws Solidigm Listing [News of Interest to Stock Investors] 1. Money Moves From Tech Stocks to Treasurys as 10-Year… -
New-Age Tech Stocks Tumble This Week, Swiggy Leads Sell-Off With 24.5% FallSixty-three of the 67 new-age tech stocks under Inc42’s coverage declined this week, led by Swiggy’s 24.5% fall The sell-off extended beyond companies reporting weak results, with 63 of 67 stocks declining, showing that broader market… -
The Weekly Bottom Line: Yields Fall as Tech Stocks Sell OffWall Street found refuge in bonds this week, but little comfort elsewhere. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly slipped below 5% as investors sought safety, offering rate-sensitive sectors some reprieve. Yet the rally was not solely due to… -
US Tech Stocks Under Pressure: 3 Stocks to Watch Before Next Week’s EarningsThe upcoming reports could test whether the recent pullback is a temporary setback or a broader reassessment of AI valuations. The key question is whether accelerating AI demand can support Microsoft’s growth without putting further… -
Tech stocks weigh on Nasdaq for second week; Roper leads gainersNasdaq posts a second weekly loss as AI spending fears, higher yields, and oil prices pressure tech. The Nasdaq (COMP:IND) extended its losing streak for a second consecutive week, down ~0.6%, deepening investor concerns after last week’s… -
Treasury yields, tech stocks, and consumer sentiment all took a slide this weekAs war in the Middle East continues, what’s the economic view like for the Fed, consumers, and businesses? As war in the Middle East continues, oil prices are soaring, and U.S. treasury yields are going the opposite way. As next week's… - Nasdaq Falls 2.6% as AI Trade Worries Hit Tech Stocks, Meta DropsUS stocks fell on Thursday as worries about the AI trade returned. Tech shares led the drop after earnings from Tesla and Meta. The S&P 500 fell more than 1%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little…
-
US tech stocks tumble as investors fret over AI spendingUS tech stocks have dropped sharply amid market jitters over the sustainability of companies’ enormous capital investments in AI. - You are only allowed to submit content which you have created yourself. - No nudity, pornography and any… -
Wall Street Warns of AI Bubble but Keeps Buying Tech StocksGlobal investors are buying more technology stocks even as warnings mount that the artificial intelligence boom could turn into a bubble. The question is why they cannot stop investing when they already see the risk. Tech Allocations Hit…
Related markets
All indexes ›10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
5.27%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 5.27%Middle half 4.06% – 6.09%
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
66,480median
50,00090,000
Median 66,480Middle half 58,153 – 72,755
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$776.10high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.10 and as low as $749.56.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78018%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75052%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
48%↑ $8,000
Traders see as low as 7,307.
- Reaches 8,00048%
- Reaches 8,20021%
- Falls to 7,40066%
- Falls to 7,20032%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026
190,201median
189,000221,000
Median 190,201
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions