S&P 500 Futures Price (Oct 26, 2026)
25%Above 7,175
7,1508,000
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Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
The odds
66,783median
Nikkei 225 now 63,268.37 +1.73% 50,00090,000
Median 66,783Middle half 58,437 – 73,010Above today's price 62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 73,066 on Oct 20, 66,783 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <55,000 | 17% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.29 | $1.3K | |
| 55,000-60,000 | 12% | 3¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $424 | |
| 60,000-65,000 | 13% | 1¢ | 24¢ | $4.24 | $779 | |
| 65,000-70,000 | 22% | 1¢ | 39¢ | $2.59 | $637 | |
| 70,000-75,000 | 18% | ▲ 2 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $14.4K |
| 75,000-80,000 | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $9.6K | |
| 80,000-85,000 | 6% | 0¢ | 11¢ | $9.17 | $584 | |
| 85,000+ | 7% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $677 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nikkei
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Nikkei 225 outlook ahead of key Japan earnings, BoJ decisionThe Nikkei 225 Index Index remained on edge on Monday morning as investors waited for key corporate earnings and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision. It dropped to 62,423 points, down by nearly 15% from the highest point this… -
Yasuo Fukuda, Japan's first second-generation prime minister, dies at 90, Nikkei reportsFormer Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda died at 90 on Thursday from heart failure, the Nikkei business daily reported on Monday. He became prime minister in 2007 after Shinzo Abe resigned and left office in 2008 amid a stalled… - Japan's Nikkei edges lower as tech sector weighs, energy shares riseThe Nikkei fell due to chip-related stock declines, despite gains in energy shares. An analyst suggests short-term undervaluation but expects a sluggish recovery amid ongoing concerns. TOKYO: Japan’s Nikkei share gauge edged lower on…
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Nikkei Falls 0.8% for Third Straight Session as Advantest and Tokyo Electron Drag Tokyo Stocks Before Fed, BOJJapan's Nikkei 225 fell for a third straight session on Monday. Heavyweight chip and artificial intelligence stocks dragged the index lower, while energy companies and trading houses rose on high oil prices. The Nikkei closed down 503.51… -
Is the NASDAQ strong and the Nikkei weak? Verifying the seasonality of the 'late October' midterm election year2026 is a US midterm election year. Comparing these two indices reveals some quite interesting differences. Over the past 30 years, the NASDAQ has seen: a 100.00% win rate,an average of +3.71%,and a median of +1.16%, meaning it rose in all… - Japan's Nikkei gauge crosses 71,000 on US-Iran peace dealJapan's Nikkei share gauge surged past key 71,000 level for the first time on Thursday after the United States and Iran extended their ceasefire, easing geopolitical tensions and supporting risk... Japan's Nikkei gauge crosses 71,000 on…
- Japan's Nikkei snaps five-day winning run on Micron earnings cautionJapan's Nikkei share gauge snapped a five-day winning streak on Monday, as Nasdaq futures weakened ahead of US memory maker Micron Technology's earnings report later in the week. The... Japan's Nikkei snaps five-day winning run on Micron…
- Japan's Nikkei slumps, yen trades above 160 level on tech, Gulf concernsJapan's Nikkei share average sank by the most in three months while the yen traded above 160 per dollar on Monday on renewed concerns about technology valuations and a flare-up in Middle East... Japan's Nikkei slumps, yen trades above 160…
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[Memorandum] Lam Research drops 9% despite "record profits" - $200 billion in equipment stock value vanishes, "supply constraints" sink the Nikkei 225 for two consecutive days via Tokyo Electron and AdvantestOn October 21, 2026, major U.S. semiconductor manufacturing equipment maker Lam Research announced its financial results for the July-September quarter (Q1 fiscal year 2027), reporting revenue of $8.22 billion—a record high for a single… -
Nikkei Average continues to fall but narrows losses❗️ Semiconductor stocks recover, buying in real estate and retailWe have summarized the key points of today's Japanese stock market in an easy-to-understand way!Just look at this and you'll be fine for the daily market!※Updated daily! Now, let's explain the market in detail! Nasdaq 100 and SOX index… - Nikkei Plunges 1,713 Points as AI Sell-Off DeepensTOKYO - Japan's financial markets suffered another sharp setback on October 22 as heavy selling in semiconductor and artificial intelligence-related stocks sent the Nikkei 225 down 1,713.40 points, or 2.65%, to 62,907.84, its lowest…
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Japan to arrange private investments worth $6.36 billion in Bangladesh, Nikkei reportsJapan will agree to arrange 1 trillion yen ($6.36 billion) in private-sector investments in Bangladesh over the next five years, the Nikkei newspaper reported today. Japan Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will host her Bangladesh…
Related markets
All indexes ›What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$776.02high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.02 and as low as $752.96.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78017%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75029%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
93%chance▲ 2
Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (Oct 26, 2026)
31%Above 27,200
27,10030,500
S&P 500 Futures Price (Dec 31, 2026)
7,956median
2,6009,050
Median 7,956Middle half 7,554 – 8,352
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
5.34%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 5.34%Middle half 4.24% – 6.24%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions