Nasarawa State Governor winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Feb 6, 2028 · $58 traded · $58 at stake · prices read 7 h ago

The odds

56%APC

APC56%▲ 1
PDP25%▲ 1
SDP8%▲ 1
ADC5%▲ 1
NDC3%
APM3%

How the odds have moved

APC: 54% on Oct 19, 56% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
APC	56%	▲ 1	54¢	62¢	$1.61	100
PDP	25%	▲ 1	21¢	30¢	$3.33
SDP	8%	▲ 1	4¢	13¢	$7.69
ADC	5%	▲ 1	1¢	9¢	$11.11
NDC	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00
APM	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nasarawa State Governor

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Kingmakers with limits: How far can the outgoing governors go in installing their successors?Tribune Online · 4 days agoAs the build-up to the 2027 election gathers momentum, the governors and the entire electoral system are at it again. The outgoing governors appreaed to have scaled the first huddle, now the ball is set to land in the court of the…
Rone, 28 others honoured at Megastar Man of the Decade AwardsThe Sun Nigeria · 9 days agoSunday, October 18, 2026 17 October 2026 12:39 am WAT Dr. Julius Dediare Rone, OFR, an oil and gas entrepreneur, emerged the highest award recipient at the third edition of the Megastar Man of the Decade Awards, held on Friday at Wells…
2027: Stakeholders Urge Accountability, Stronger DemocracyLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 10 days agoStakeholders have called on Nigerians to demand accountability from political leaders, reject identity politics and strengthen democratic institutions ahead of the 2027 general elections. They made the call at the Megastar Man of the…
Sule to Wadada: By Your Next Birthday, You’ll Be Nasarawa Governornasarawaeye.com · 11 days agoGovernor Abdullahi Sule of Nasarawa State has expressed confidence in Senator Ahmed Wadada Aliyu’s governorship ambition, declaring that he expects the senator to become the state’s next governor by his 63rd birthday in 2027. Sule prayed…
Governor Sule pledges continued support for NDLEA’s fight against drug abuseDaily Post Nigeria · 13 days agoNasarawa State Governor, Abdullahi A. Sule, has reaffirmed his administration’s commitment to supporting the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency, NDLEA, in its efforts to combat drug trafficking and substance abuse across the state. The…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onIndependent National Electoral Commission

Trading closesFeb 6, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$58 (100 contracts)

This week$58

At stake$58

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the APC candidate wins the 2027 Nasarawa State governorship election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions