Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Babu Owino
34%
30¢
38¢
$2.63
Agnes Kagure
17%
13¢
21¢
$4.76
Johnson Sakaja
16%
12¢
20¢
$5.00
James Gakuya
12%
8¢
16¢
$6.25
George Aladwa
5%
1¢
9¢
$11.11
Ronald Karauri
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
Margaret Wanjiru
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
Tony Gachoka
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nairobi Governor, Babu Owino, Agnes Kagure
Nairobi Governor Sakaja fires Chief Officer Geoffrey Mosiria in latest reshuffleCitizen Digital · 5 days agoNairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja has fired Public Participation, Citizen Engagement, and Customer Service Chief Officer Geoffrey Mosiria in the latest reshuffle of his administration. In a reorganization announced on Wednesday, Nairobi…
‘Thank You for Making My Sacking Official’: Mosiria Fires Back at SakajaNairobi Wire · 4 days agoNairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja has relieved Geoffrey Mosiria of his duties as Chief Officer for Public Participation, Citizen Engagement, and Customer Service during a cabinet reshuffle at City Hall. In an administrative reorganization…
Mosiria Eyes Nairobi Governor Seat After Turbulent Stint at City HallMwakilishi.com · 5 days agoFormer Nairobi County chief officer Geoffrey Mosiria has indicated that he is considering running for governor, saying his experience at City Hall has shown him the need for reforms in county administration and service delivery. His…
Sakaja fires Chief Officer Mosiria in latest reshuffleKahawatungu · 5 days agoNairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja has fired Public Participation, Citizen Engagement, and Customer Service Chief Officer Geoffrey Mosiria in the latest reshuffle of his administration. In a reorganization announced on Wednesday, Nairobi…
Somalia Stands With Kenya Following Eastleigh Building CollapseDawan Africa · 2 days agoKenya, 24 October 2026 - The Federal Republic of Somalia’s Ambassador to Kenya, Jabril Ibrahim Abdulle, on Saturday commended the Kenyan government and rescuers for their swift response following the collapse of a building in Eastleigh…
Babu Owino Remembers His Father Dominic Owino, Raila on Mashujaa DayY News · 6 days agoKRA to Block Imports Without Digital Marine Insurance From November 1 Barclays’ £2.3bn Profit Comes With 5,000 Jobs Set to Go Nyoro Alleges Dangote’s 24.76pc KPC Stake Is First Step in Plan to Take Over Pipeline Firm Limuru Tea Appoints…
Oga Obinna Advises Dismissed Geoffrey Mosiria To Stop “Airing Dirty Linen” OnlineGhafla! · 4 days agoBy Dennis Elnino on October 22, 2026 Media personality Oga Obinna has urged former Nairobi County Chief Officer Geoffrey Mosiria to cease venting on social media following his dismissal by Nairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja. Speaking about…
Ni uchungu sana: Mosiria speaks out again after city hall firingK24 Digital · 5 days agoFormer Nairobi County Chief Officer Geoffrey Mosiria has continued to express his frustration following his removal from office, sharing a message that appeared to reference his former colleagues and his political ambitions ahead of the…
Mosiria: I will teach Sakaja an important lessonK24 Digital · 5 days agoGeoffrey Mosiria has vowed to teach Nairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja an important lesson after losing his county government job, claiming that his commitment to work may have contributed to his exit. In a statement shared on Instagram on…
‘You sacked me in 2023’: Geoffrey Mosiria hits back at SakajaNairobi Law Monthly · 4 days agoNairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja has removed Geoffrey Mosiria as Chief Officer for Public Participation, Citizen Engagement and Customer Service, ten days after Mosiria declared his intention to run for Nairobi governor in 2027. The changes…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions