The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 10
84%
80¢
88¢
$1.14
1.8K
Above 15
72%
68¢
76¢
$1.32
1.3K
Above 20
47%
44¢
49¢
$2.04
2.4K
Above 25
29%
25¢
33¢
$3.03
1.7K
Above 30
26%
22¢
30¢
$3.33
884
Above 35
22%
18¢
26¢
$3.85
724
Above 40
21%
17¢
25¢
$4.00
1.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
F1 2026 qualifying head-to-head: United States GPYahoo Sports · 24 h agoThis record is based exclusively on qualifying results so that grid penalties don't alter the statistics. When a driver can't put in a representative lap time due to a technical issue or an incident, this will be mentioned in the table. F1…
F1 United States Qualifying: Important Takeaways For Sunday's RaceYahoo Sports · 29 h agoMercedes driver Kimi Antonelli ticked his first checkbox in his bid to clinch the championship in the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The championship leader produced a scintillating first run in the final session of qualifying, giving…
F1 Fantasy: 3 Big Questions Ahead of the United States Grand PrixYahoo Sports · 27 h agoAUSTIN, Texas — Just a few hours remain until F1 Fantasy lineups lock for the United States Grand Prix. Several key decisions will decide whether our teams start the triple header on a high note, or if massive changes are needed for…
United States Grand Prix: Formula One – livethe Guardian · 3 h ago🏎️ Updates from Austin; race start 3pm CDT/8pm GMT 🏎️ Antonelli seizes US GP poll | Mail Tom with your thoughts On the US broadcast, Apple has decided to bring on as its expert … Apple CEO John Ternus. We find out that he likes driving and…
Why Ferrari failed to deliver on its hype in F1's United States GP qualifyingYahoo Sports · 22 h agoFerrari had been pegged as the team to beat after practice at the United States Grand Prix, but ultimately found itself wanting when it came to qualifying and failed to find enough progression through Q3. Charles Leclerc had headlined both…
United States Grand Prix: Formula One qualifying – livethe Guardian · 26 h ago🏎️ Updates from Austin; start 10pm BST, 4pm local 🏎️ Giles Richards’ preview | Mail Philip double quotation markMany thought Russell [would be winning a maiden title] when the season started in Australia. Russell won his eighth career…
F1 United States GP: Final starting grid as multiple penalties reshape the orderYahoo Sports · 10 h agoKimi Antonelli will start the 2026 United States Grand Prix from pole position, with Max Verstappen alongside him on the front row. However, several penalties have reshuffled the starting order in Austin, while a late decision by Aston…
Supreme Court of the United States news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News · 35 h agoThe Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The Supreme Court has rejected an effort from the Trump administration to restrict some medical…
Franco Colapinto goes viral after surprise Doctor Doom appearance at United States GPYahoo Sports · 27 h agoThe driver was handed the costume during a Williams fan zone in downtown Austin where the team was promoting its partnership with the upcoming film Avengers: Doomsday. Videos of the outfit were quickly shared throughout social media with…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
