How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Kalshi Health › Public health Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $284 today · $19.7K traded · $6.6K at stake · prices read 67 min ago

The odds

407,143median
270,000550,000
Median 407,143Middle half 384,314 – 435,417

How the odds have moved

Median: 405,932 on Oct 20, 407,143 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 285k 100% 99¢ 4.2K
Above 300k 100% 99¢ 4.8K
Above 325k 100% ▲ 3 99¢ 4.1K
Above 350k 97% ▲ 2 96¢ 97¢ $1.03 2.2K
Above 375k 85% ▲ 2 81¢ 88¢ $1.14 2.1K
Above 400k 59% ▲ 1 56¢ 62¢ $1.61 3.1K
Above 425k 28% ▲ 2 24¢ 31¢ $3.23 1.2K
Above 450k 22% ▲ 1 19¢ 24¢ $4.17 2.1K
Above 500k 5% ▼ 7 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 6.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: United States

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions