Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
67%North Carolina Senate
- North Carolina Senate67%
- Georgia Senate33%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
North Carolina Senate: 52% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Senate | 67% | 64¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 12.5K | |
| Georgia Senate | 33% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 11.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Carolina Senate, Larger, Georgia
Search ›-
Ossoff pulls ahead of Collins in new Georgia Senate pollDemocratic Sen. Jon Ossoff has a sizable lead over his Republican opponent Rep. Mike Collins in the Georgia Senate race, according to new polling from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Washington Bureau… -
North Carolina Senate District 4 Race Pits Incumbent Buck Newton Against Challenger Jess RiveraHome » North Carolina Senate District 4 Race Pits Incumbent Buck Newton Against Challenger Jess Rivera The race for North Carolina Senate District 4 is shaping up as a contest between Republican incumbent Buck Newton’s years of legislative… -
Jon Ossoff opens up sizable lead in high-stakes Georgia Senate raceA new Georgia Senate poll finds Jon Ossoff at 48% and Mike Collins at 40%, with nearly 12% of likely voters undecided. Jon Ossoff opens up sizable lead in high-stakes Georgia Senate race Ossoff leads Mike Collins 48% to 40%, with his… -
Georgia & North Carolina Senate Races 2026: Polls & OddsFollow the Georgia and North Carolina Senate races: candidates, polls, fundraising, race ratings, Kalshi odds, and what each contest means for Senate control. Two Southern states that supported Republican President Donald Trump in 2024… -
Ossoff, Collins make final campaign pushes ahead of Georgia Senate electionBoth candidates in the race for U.S. Senate are on the campaign trail, with Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff and Republican Congressman Mike Collins making their cases to voters. Ossoff voted early last week. On Friday, his Republican opponent… -
North Carolina Senate race: Roy Cooper leads Trump ally Michael Whatley as Democrats eye key seatWith Republicans defending their 53-47 Senate majority, North Carolina has emerged as a key battleground as former governor Roy Cooper seeks to unseat the Republican hold on the state’s open Senate seat As the United States heads towards… -
Georgia Senate Dist. 1: Ben Watson, Corey ForemanGeorgia State Senate District 1 covers 191,523 residents in parts of Chatham, Liberty, and Bryan counties. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; senators also serve year-round on various special committees and assignments… - Jon Ossoff Now the -5000 Favorite to Win Georgia Senate RaceATLANTA (Gambling911.com) - To think, just a few months ago Democrat Jon Ossoff was considered among the most vulnerable Democrats and a possible gain for the Republicans. What a difference a few months can make. BetOnline released its…
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Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Brown, Cooper Ahead In Ohio, North Carolina Senate Races (Updated Daily)Former North Carolina Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper is leading former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley by double digits in the North Carolina Senate contest, while former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown has a narrow lead over… -
How Many Senate Seats are Up for Election in 2026? – Check Key Races, Number of Seats Having Elections and MoreThe midterm elections are just around the corner and while all seats in the House of Representatives will be contested, that’s not the case for the US Senate. So how many seats in the Senate elections are up for grabs? Here is all you need… -
Ossoff Leads Collins in Georgia Senate RaceActiVote’s October 20, 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate poll finds that Democrat Jon Ossoff leads Republican Mike Collins by 8.0%. The poll was in the field between October 6 and October 20 (median field date of October 13). The poll was among 400… -
Elon poll shows Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley by 13 points in North Carolina Senate raceFormer North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper is leading Republican Michael Whatley by 13 percentage points in the U.S. Senate race, according to the final Elon University Poll before Election Day. Among likely voters surveyed Sept. 29 through…
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All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
65%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party65%▲ 2
- Republican Party36%▼ 1
Texas Senate Election Winner
67%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)67%▲ 2
- Ken Paxton (R)34%▼ 2
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%
- D-House, R-Senate28%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%▼ 1
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- R-House, D-Senate1%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
77%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham77%▼ 3
- Annie Andrews24%▲ 3
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
68%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 2
- Mike Rogers32%▼ 3
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions