Mississauga mayoral election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 26, 2027 · $814 today · $2.3K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

61%Bonnie Crombie

Bonnie Crombie61%▲ 18
Alvin Tedjo24%▲ 5
Carolyn Parrish15%▼ 12
Aamir Bhatti1%
Karam Ahmed1%
Dipika Damerla1%▼ 1
Amjad Jilani1%
Gord Elliott<1%
Frank Fang<1%
Mohsin Khan<1%
Mike Matulewicz<1%
Fadi Naami<1%

2 more

David Shaw<1%
Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal<1%

How the odds have moved

Bonnie Crombie: 35% on Oct 20, 61% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Bonnie Crombie	61%	▲ 18	61¢	76¢	$1.32	2.0K
Alvin Tedjo	24%	▲ 5	24¢	25¢	$4.00	1.6K
Carolyn Parrish	15%	▼ 12	2¢	15¢	$6.67	2.1K
Aamir Bhatti	1%			3¢	$33.33	250
Karam Ahmed	1%			2¢	$50.00	250
Dipika Damerla	1%	▼ 1		2¢	$50.00	631
Amjad Jilani	1%			2¢	$50.00	250
Gord Elliott	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250
Frank Fang	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250
Mohsin Khan	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250
Mike Matulewicz	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250
Fadi Naami	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250
David Shaw	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250
Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal	<1%			1¢	$100.00	250

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mississauga, Bonnie Crombie, Carolyn Parrish

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Mississauga’s mayoral race a close three-way contest with Bonnie Crombie pulling ahead, a new poll showsToronto Star · 4 days agoThe Mississauga mayoral race is one to watch on election night, with a narrow three-way race between the front-runners. From left, incumbent mayor Carolyn Parrish, current councillor Alvin Tedjo and former mayor Bonnie Crombie are in an…
John Tory weighs in on the mayoral race — in MississaugaToronto Star · 39 h agoThe former Toronto mayor offered praise for Bonnie Crombie and her idea for a subway extension into Mississauga. John Tory speaks at a January 2020 press conference when he was Toronto mayor, alongside then-Mississauga mayor Bonnie Crombie…
WARMINGTON: Race so tight for Mississauga mayor that photo finish expectedToronto Sun · 45 h agoPolls show Bonnie Crombie, Carolyn Parrish and Alvin Tedjo all have potential support to pull out a victory Monday that ultimately undecided voters will determine The city of Mississauga has always been more about the future than the past…
Carolyn Parrish only front-running candidate absent for mayoral debate organized by Mississauga’s Muslim communityThe Pointer · 6 days agoIncumbent Carolyn Parrish’s absence from a mayoral debate organized for Mississauga’s Muslim community hosted by Muslim Network TV on October 13 has raised questions about what it means for a candidate to demonstrate support for a…
Crombie leads in Mississauga mayoral race, Tedjo makes most gains: pollCityNews Toronto · 4 days agoPosted October 22, 2026 11:28 am. A new poll finds Bonnie Crombie leading fellow candidates in the Mississauga mayoral race, with Alvin Tedjo making the most gains in voter support since the summer. According to the Liaison Strategies…
Mississauga: Crombie 35%, Tedjo 31%, Parrish 28%Liaison Strategies · 4 days agoOctober 22, 2026 (Toronto, ON) - A new Liaison Strategies Mississauga Tracker survey finds Bonnie Crombie leading with 35% among decided and leaning voters, followed by Alvin Tedjo at 31% and Mayor Carolyn Parrish at 28%. Dipika Damerla…
Data centres, floods, affordable housing: What Mississauga’s next mayor must confront in a climate crisisNarcity · 4 days agoIn a tight race to lead one of Canada’s fastest-growing big cities, incumbent Carolyn Parrish is facing two of her council colleagues and her predecessor Bonnie Crombie, as affordability and crime have dominated the mayoral campaign. On…
TEDJO: We owe voters our respect – and a planToronto Sun · 42 h ago“Respect for the taxpayer” is one of those phrases that gets thrown around during a campaign until it just becomes part of the election hum. But there’s wisdom in the cliche, and it comes down to treating people like adults. This Monday…
Bonnie Crombie outlines plan to extend TTC Line 2 into Mississauga if elected mayorCityNews Toronto · 6 days agoPosted October 20, 2026 10:01 am. Mississauga mayoral candidate Bonnie Crombie is pledging to make a western extension of the TTC’s Line 2 subway into the city a priority, unveiling a plan to begin work toward a direct connection between…
Bonnie Crombie details plan for Mississauga subway extensionCTVNews · 6 days agoMississauga mayoral candidate Bonnie Crombie is laying out exactly how she plans to bring a subway extension to the city if elected.
Ottawa ‘disappointed’ after union announces strike votes for 120,000 workersCityNews Toronto · 3 days agoPosted October 23, 2026 3:59 pm. OTTAWA — The federal government says it’s “disappointed” after Canada’s largest federal public service union announced 120,000 workers will take part in nationwide strike votes starting next month. The…
National security strategy to address array of threats coming soon: Carney adviserCityNews Toronto · 3 days agoPosted October 23, 2026 12:23 pm. OTTAWA — A senior federal adviser says the Liberals are poised to release a new national security strategy — the first such policy in more than two decades. David Morrison, senior diplomatic and…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCity of Mississauga City Clerk

Trading closesOct 26, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.3K (8,785 contracts)

Today$814

This week$1.1K

At stake$1.3K

In the news1 headlines today, 25 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Karam Ahmed wins the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions