Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) (2026)
The odds
67%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed67%▼ 2
- Mike Rogers34%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Abdul El-Sayed: 69% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 67% | ▼ 2 | 66¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 1.1M |
| Mike Rogers | 34% | ▲ 2 | 33¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.5M |
| Mallory McMorrow | 1% | $100.00 | 8.1K | |||
| Haley Stevens | 1% | $100.00 | 188.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate, Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers
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Mike Rogers on Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a terrorist: ‘I've never called him a terrorist’In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Michigan Senate candidate and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) responds to President Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” and “violent terrorist.” Kornacki: Where Democrats see openings for… -
AIPAC Dumps Last-Minute $9M Behind Mike Rogers in Rebuke of Abdul El-SayedOct 22, 2026 at 05:12 PM EDT The super PAC controlled by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) is sending up to $9 million to a group backing Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan's U.S. Senate race, The New York Times reported… -
Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash in bitterly personal debateCNN Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash in bitterly personal debate A debate between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race was bitterly personal and contentious, while Republican Roger Marshall and… -
Oct. 25 — Sen. Adam Schiff, Mike Rogers, Gov. Gretchen WhitmerKristen Welker has exclusive interviews with Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), Michigan Senate candidate and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R), and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D) nine days out from the midterm elections. Garrett Haake, former… -
Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan rallyDemocratic Senate nominee in Michigan Abdul El-Sayed tells reporters on eve of president's rally that Trump will praise tariffs, Iran war and 'big ugly bill' during Michigan visit. Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan… -
Mike Rogers says Abdul El-Sayed is a national security ‘risk’ who’s ‘bought’ by Muslim Brotherhood in testy Michigan Senate debateMichigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers torched his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, during their debate Wednesday over his alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. Rogers, a former Republican congressman and retired FBI agent, brought up… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail with Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganDemocratic Senate candidate El-Sayed delivers remarks to supporters at a campaign rally alongside Bernie Sanders in Grand Rapids, Michigan, just days ahead of the critical midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail… -
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visitFox News Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visit Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed tells Fox News Digital that former President Barack Obama reminds voters of a president… -
GOP Mich. Senate hopeful Mike Rogers dodges whether he’s ‘MAGA Republican’GOP Michigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers on Sunday sidestepped whether he views himself as a “MAGA Republican.” “I get you guys on the national press, but this is a little bit disgusting to me,” Rogers said on NBC News’ “Meet the Press”… -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in DetroitFormer President Barack Obama joins Democratic candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson at a campaign rally in Detroit. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in Detroit Former President Barack Obama… -
Mike Rogers clashes with Welker over El-Sayed's alleged Muslim Brotherhood tiesMichigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused Kristen Welker of defending Democratic rival Abdul El-Sayed during a tense exchange over alleged Muslim Brotherhood ties. Mike Rogers clashes with Welker over El-Sayed's alleged… -
"We're all on the same team": Dem Senator on getting moderate voters behind progressive Senate candidate Abdul El-SayedCNN ‘We’re all on the same team": Dem Senator on getting moderate voters behind progressive Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed CNN's Jessica Dean speaks to Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin about the neck-and-neck Senate race in Michigan as…
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
65%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)65%▲ 2
- Ken Paxton (R)36%▼ 1
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
65%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party65%▼ 2
- Republican Party36%▲ 2
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▼ 1
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep10%▲ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
66%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed66%▼ 2
- Mike Rogers34%▲ 3
Minnesota Senate winner? (2026)
85%Peggy Flanagan
- Peggy Flanagan85%▲ 1
- Michele Tafoya16%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions