Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case? (Before Jul 1, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Supreme Court & courts Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $13 traded · $13 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

6%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 6% on Oct 19, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 212

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Meta

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  • How a New Mexico lawsuit ‘win’ vs. Meta could tank the whole US economyNew York Post · 20 h agoNew Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez’s big win against Meta last week means huge risks for every successful company in America; if this decision holds up, the same garbage-lawsuit model could destroy any business. It’s a victory for…
  • Review: Ray-Ban Meta AudioWIRED · 2 days agoI am very lost in Los Angeles. I’m also sweating because I'm running as fast as I can, slapping my hands against the wet glasses frame on my face to boost the volume of the pulsing techno beats blasting into my ears—and anyone else’s if…
  • How Many Billions Would It Take to Hold Meta Accountable?WIRED · 3 days agoEarlier this week, a New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay a $25 billion fine for violating consumer protection laws dating back to the Cambridge Analytica scandal. $25 billion is a massive fine, the largest Meta has ever faced, but it…
  • Why Meta is charging to post more hyperlinksNPR · 3 days agoIn our team's Slack, co-host Wailin Wong responded to the low prices, "make it up on volume!?" Jeff Guo wrote, "how is this real." But like, actually. How is this real? Tom Kloza is the chief energy advisor for Gulf Oil Screenshot of a…
  • Why some people are falling for Meta's Muse AIFox News · 3 days agoYou might use artificial intelligence to write an email, make dinner reservations or plan your next vacation. But would you ever consider dating it? Some people are taking that idea seriously with Meta's new Muse AI agent. They're having…
  • Meta delays new business terms after publisher pushback on AI scrapingThe Verge · 3 days agoMeta is delaying the enforcement of its new business terms after publishers raised concerns that they could allow the company to scrape news sites for AI training, as reported earlier by Fast Company. In a statement to The Verge, Meta…
  • Meta Platforms’ (META) Buy Rating Reiterated at GuggenheimMarkets Daily · 38 h agoPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 25th, 2026 Guggenheim reiterated their buy rating on shares of Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META – Free Report) in a research report report published on Thursday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage currently has a…
  • Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) Price Target Raised to $940.00Markets Daily · 36 h agoPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 25th, 2026 Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META – Free Report) had its target price increased by JPMorgan Chase & Co. from $920.00 to $940.00 in a research report report published on Thursday morning,Benzinga…
  • Meta shares are down 9% this week. Here's why Mike Khouw is buying nowCNBC · 3 days agoSize is a relative matter. The standard Manhattan apartment would seem almost claustrophobic compared to the vast expanses offered by suburban living. A similar dynamic is playing out in the market. Mega-cap companies are generally defined…
  • Meta turns Muse sharing back onThe Verge · 4 days agoMeta has given new URLs to shared Muse ‘artifacts’ after security researchers reported that public links could be easy to find. Meta has re-enabled Muse sharing after security researchers had reported that public conversation links could…
  • Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) Price Target Raised to $845.00Markets Daily · 38 h agoPosted by Kim Johansen on Oct 25th, 2026 Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META – Free Report) had its price target hoisted by Bank of America from $810.00 to $845.00 in a research note issued to investors on Thursday, MarketBeat Ratings reports. The…
  • Meta Platforms, Inc. $META Stock: Nisa Investment Advisors LLC Lowers HoldingsMarkets Daily · 33 h agoPosted by Kim Johansen on Oct 25th, 2026 The company also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Monday, September 28th. Shareholders of record on Monday, September 21st were given a $0.5250 dividend. The ex-dividend…

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

40%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar40%▼ 2
  • Cassidy Hutchinson25%▼ 2
  • John Brennan21%▲ 1
40 more
  • Fani Willis14%
  • Anthony Fauci14%
  • Gustavo Petro14%▲ 3
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle13%▲ 6
  • Dan J. Sullivan12%▼ 3
  • Jack Smith11%
  • Lisa Cook10%
  • Keith Ellison10%
  • James Clapper10%
  • Andrew Weissmann10%
  • Gavin Newsom10%
  • Peter Strzok9%
  • Hunter Biden9%
  • Miles Taylor9%▲ 1
  • Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%
  • Tucker Carlson8%▲ 4
  • Chris Krebs8%
  • Lisa Monaco8%▲ 2
  • George Soros8%▲ 4
  • E. Jean Carroll8%▼ 1
  • Tim Walz7%
  • Alvin Bragg7%
  • Letitia James6%
  • Jacob Frey6%
  • Pam Bondi6%
  • Mark Milley6%
  • Elissa Slotkin6%
  • Mark Kelly6%
  • Liz Cheney6%
  • Joe Kent6%
  • Leon Black6%
  • Chris Christie5%
  • Christopher Wray5%
  • Adam Schiff5%▼ 2
  • Reid Hoffman5%
  • Barack Obama4%▲ 1
  • Jerome Powell4%▼ 1
  • Hillary Clinton3%▼ 1
  • Bill Clinton3%
  • Joe Biden3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $4K today

Who will be arrested in 2026?

37%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar37%▲ 4
  • John Brennan22%▼ 2
  • Mahmoud Khalil17%▲ 2
22 more
  • Anthony Fauci9%
  • James Clapper8%
  • Letitia James8%
  • Lisa Cook6%
  • Susan Rice6%
  • Tom Homan5%▼ 4
  • Lee Jun-seok5%
  • Lee Jae Myung5%▼ 1
  • Candace Owens5%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu5%▼ 1
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Bill Clinton4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Gavin Newsom3%
  • John Kerry3%
  • Adam Schiff3%▼ 4
  • Pam Bondi3%
  • Kash Patel3%
  • Loretta Lynch3%
  • Brandon Johnson3%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden2%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $477 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions