Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
May 28, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202613%▼ 4
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- February 28, 202728%▼ 2
2 more
- June 30, 202758%▼ 1
- December 31, 202763%▼ 3
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Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? (Before 2050)
The odds
32%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 33% on Oct 20, 32% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32% | 29¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 16.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mars, California
Search ›-
The ‘Exotic Physics’ Behind a Mysterious 1,000-Mile Cloud on MarsEvery morning during the Martian spring and summer, a thin and extremely long cloud emerges, only to disappear again. The wispy formation appears near the volcano Arsia Mons and gradually elongates until it reaches over 1,000 miles—about… -
Is there time on Mars?Catch up on your favourite BBC radio show from your favourite DJ right here, whenever you like. Listen without limits with BBC Sounds. Use BBC.com or the new BBC App to listen to BBC podcasts, Radio 4 and the World Service outside the UK… -
Geology professor discusses California coastal erosion concernsCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Geology… -
The California climate move-out10/23/2026 07:30 PM EDT With help from Noah Baustin and Alex Nieves Extreme weather could force more Californians to leave their homes. | Ethan Swope/AP PACK YOUR BAGS: More wildfires, greater flooding, longer and more extreme heat waves… -
Pleasant fall weekend ahead in Southern CaliforniaCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Saturday 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS News Miami This Morning 9am WCCO News Saturday Morning 8am CBS News New… -
Remnants of meteor fireball found in CaliforniaApril 25, 2012 / 8:32 PM EDT / AP The rocks each weighed about 10 grams, or the weight of two nickels, said John T. Wasson, a longtime professor and expert in meteorites at UCLA's Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics. Experts say… -
California cities dominate ranking of riskiest places for driversCalifornia drivers are getting a dangerous reality check, with six Golden State cities ranking among the 10 riskiest places to drive in America. San Diego came in second nationwide, with 28.2 crashes per 1,000 drivers, while Los Angeles… -
SMU Explodes in Second Half to Rout California 59-20The SMU Mustangs delivered a dominant second-half performance on Saturday, defeating the California Golden Bears 59-20 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. After a competitive opening half, SMU erupted for 42 unanswered points after halftime to… -
California abortion rights advocate sweats Biden drag on House racesJodi Hicks, president of Planned Parenthood California, indicated Democrats were taking a big risk in losing the House if they stuck with President Joe Biden. Jodi Hicks, an ally of the vice president and a major player in the capital city… -
Sylmar celebrates California's first-ever barbering program inside juvenile hallCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Sylmar… -
LA’s top federal prosecutor says California elections already in jeopardyLos Angeles’ top federal prosecutor fears noncitizens could be illegally casting ballots in California as dozens of polling places opened across LA County Saturday, warning the state could be trying to run out the clock before disputed… -
The Californian whose pumpkin patch dream took root in FifeThe American tradition of pumpkin-picking has become an autumnal tradition for many Scots When Cameron Laird introduced pumpkin-picking to her husband John's farm 28 years ago, she was trying to bring a treasured piece of her American…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions