Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
38%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jan 1, 202710%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202724%
- Before Jan 1, 202838%
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Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
The odds
9%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 10% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 25.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OPEC
Search ›- OPEC+ to Increase oil output, warns recovery May be slowBREAKING: FG confirms Ebola case in Abuja, identifies 44 close contacts Eight members of OPEC+ have agreed to slightly increase oil production starting in May. The group said it will raise output by 206,000 barrels per day. However, this…
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Moscow, Riyadh to boost trade, coordination in OPEC+MOSCOW, October 21. /TASS/. Russia and Saudi Arabia intend to expand trade regimes and stimulate investment, while considering cooperation within OPEC+ an unconditional priority, Maxim Maximov, Acting Director of the Department of the… -
How the Iran war reshaped OPEC+ oil output: Saudi Arabia, Iraq and gulf supply in focusThe war has sharply disrupted oil production across the Gulf, triggering steep output declines in Saudi Arabia and Iraq before a partial recovery, while producers outside the region have continued pumping. The uneven recovery highlights… -
Uganda seeks €150mn OPEC Fund loan for SGR railwayUganda’s Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) project has moved closer to securing €150mn ($168.42mn) in financing from the OPEC Fund for International ... -
Non-Opec-Plus: South America Cranks Up Oil Output, ExportsEnergy Intelligence Non-Opec-Plus: South America Cranks Up Oil Output, Exports While the world grapples with a supply shock, South America is hustling. The continent, increasingly seen as the premier frontier region for upstream… -
OPEC Fund Eyes Uganda Railway Loan Approval—Who The OPEC Fund for International Development, a Vienna-based lender, sent a team led by Senior Country Manager Kemi Afun-Ogidan. —What The team is appraising a proposed €150 million loan (about US$168 million) for Uganda’s Standard… - OPEC Oil Demand Forecast: 2026 Growth of 0.2 mb/d, 2027 Rebound of 2.6 mb/dGlobal oil demand expanded by a solid 1.4 mb/d in 2025, supported mainly by robust economic activity across non-OECD countries and regions, led by China and Other Asia, according to OPEC. The producer group projects global oil demand…
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Russia, Saudi Arabia Committed to Effective Cooperation Within OPEC+ - Foreign MinistrySputnik International is a global news media keeping you updated on all the latest world news 24/7. Browse Sputnik for breaking news and top stories on politics, economy, social media and the most viral trends. Russia, Saudi Arabia… -
OPEC Oil Output Rises in SeptemberOil production by members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) increased by 1.78 million barrels per day (mmbbl/d) month on month (MoM) to 21.49 mmbbl/d in September 2026, driven by increases in Saudi Arabia and… - Persian Gulf states highly appreciate coordination with Russia within OPEC+Bahrainâs Foreign Minister Abdullatif bin Rashid Al Zayani emphasized the importance of accelerating the implementation of the joint action plan between the countries of the Persian Gulf and Russia in such areas as energy, transport…
- Russia and Saudi Arabia aim to continue cooperation within OPEC+ — Foreign MinistryDuring the conversation, the ministers discussed the priority issues in the multifaceted Russian·Saudi relations - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business & EconomyInto…
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Tripoli government delegation discusses agenda for OPEC+ energy & oil ministers meeting in RiyadhDuring meetings in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, a delegation from the Tripoli based Libyan government of discussed the agenda for the upcoming meeting of energy and oil ministers from the "OPEC+" Declaration of Cooperation. The discussions…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions