Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Aldo Carlos Mariños
50%
46¢
54¢
$1.85
Elías Rodríguez Zavaleta
48%
44¢
52¢
$1.92
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: La Libertad, Peru Governor, Aldo Carlos Mariños
Peru Gives Workers Days Off for Pope VisitThe Rio Times · 3 days agoPeru has declared compensable non-working days for Pope Leo XIV’s visit on 11 to 16 November 2026. Workers in Lima, Callao and other regions get time off, but must make the hours up later. The rule came in Supreme Decree No. 020-2026-TR…
Milei Blasts Argentine Press After Beating Libra Crypto ChargesBitcoin News · 32 h agoAfter having all charges dismissed in the Libra case, President Javier Milei claimed that several journalists used the case to extort the government in exchange for dodging taxes, and celebrated the proper functioning of the Argentine…
Concretan 'Ley Antimemes'; va a Ejecutivo para publicación@reforma · 5 days agoMorena y aliados aprobaron la 'Ley Antimemes', pese a que Oposición advirtió riesgos para la libertad de expresión y penas de hasta 5 años. Cd. de México (21 octubre 2026) .-14:25 (Actualización: 21:54 hrs) Diputados de Oposición colocaron…
APP founder César Acuña announces retirement from politics — The Rio TimesUA.NEWS · 10 days agoAs The Rio Times reports, Acuña made the announcement on October 15 in the city of Chepén in the La Libertad region. He said: “Chau política, dedicado a tiempo completo a formar a mis jóvenes” — “Goodbye, politics; I am fully devoted to…
Kicillof vs Milei: Argentina’s 2027 Election ExplainedThe Rio Times · 10 days agoKicillof vs Milei is the matchup that already frames Argentina’s 2027 presidential election, due on Sunday 24 October 2027. No ticket is formal yet: Milei’s camp says he will run again, while Kicillof keeps his plans open. Argentina ranks…
Peru Party Founder Quits PoliticsThe Rio Times · 10 days agoCésar Acuña, the founder of the Peruvian party Alianza para el Progreso, announced on Thursday 15 October that he is leaving politics for good. The Peru party founder said he will focus full time on the universities he built. For foreign…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions