Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? (Before Dec 22, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 22, 2028 · $1.5K traded · $762 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

33%Giorgia Meloni
  • Giorgia Meloni33%
  • Elly Schlein21%
  • Giuseppe Conte19%
  • Roberto Vannacci12%
  • Silvia Salis2%
  • Paolo Gentiloni2%
  • Gaetano Manfredi2%
  • Roberto Gualtieri2%
  • Antonio Decaro2%
  • Ernesto Maria Ruffini2%
  • Antonio Tajani2%

How the odds have moved

Giorgia Meloni: 29% on Oct 20, 33% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Giorgia Meloni 33% 32¢ 41¢ $2.44 2.0K
Elly Schlein 21% 18¢ 28¢ $3.57 996
Giuseppe Conte 19% 16¢ 26¢ $3.85 1.3K
Roberto Vannacci 12% 8¢ 18¢ $5.56 600
Silvia Salis 2% 5¢ $20.00 891
Paolo Gentiloni 2% 5¢ $20.00 696
Gaetano Manfredi 2% 5¢ $20.00 690
Roberto Gualtieri 2% 5¢ $20.00 2.1K
Antonio Decaro 2% 5¢ $20.00 651
Ernesto Maria Ruffini 2% 5¢ $20.00 689
Antonio Tajani 2% 5¢ $20.00 686

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prime Minister of Italy, Giorgia Meloni, Elly Schlein

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions