Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $1.3K traded · $893 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

19%Yariv Levin
  • Yariv Levin19%
  • Orit Farkash-Hacohen8%
  • Chili Tropper4%
  • Amir Ohana3%▼ 1
  • Gilad Kariv3%▼ 1
  • Tally Gotliv3%▼ 1
  • Efrat Rayten2%▼ 1
  • Gideon Sa'ar2%▼ 1
  • Simcha Rothman2%▼ 1
  • Ayelet Shaked2%▼ 1
  • Karine Elharrar2%▼ 1
  • Oded Forer2%▼ 1
3 more
  • Bezalel Smotrich1%▼ 1
  • Moshe Saada1%▼ 1
  • Ofir Katz1%

How the odds have moved

Yariv Levin: 15% on Oct 19, 19% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yariv Levin 19% 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 2.8K
Orit Farkash-Hacohen 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.2K
Chili Tropper 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 5.8K
Amir Ohana 3% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 900
Gilad Kariv 3% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 960
Tally Gotliv 3% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 1.3K
Efrat Rayten 2% ▼ 1 4¢ $25.00 1.0K
Gideon Sa'ar 2% ▼ 1 4¢ $25.00 900
Simcha Rothman 2% ▼ 1 4¢ $25.00 1.1K
Ayelet Shaked 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 3.9K
Karine Elharrar 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 5.3K
Oded Forer 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 3.8K
Bezalel Smotrich 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 4.5K
Moshe Saada 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 3.9K
Ofir Katz 1% 2¢ $50.00 6.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Yariv Levin, Orit Farkash-Hacohen, Chili Tropper

Search ›
  • Eisenkot rules out serving under Netanyahu, even in rotation dealIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 5 days agoYashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot on Wednesday categorically ruled out serving in a government led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, even under a rotating premiership arrangement, pledging to resign within an hour if he broke that…
  • Yair Golan threatens Channel 14, Eli AcademyIsrael National News · 36 h agoGolan also declared that funding for the Bnei David pre-military academy in Eli would be discontinued. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich responded sharply, warning that a government led by Gadi Eisenkot and Golan would pursue policies…
  • Levin vows to reshape Supreme Court as historic battle loomsIsrael National News · 4 days agoJustice Minister Yariv Levin says the next Knesset could transform Israel's Supreme Court, advance sovereignty in Judea and Samaria, and determine the future of judicial reform. Levin vows to reshape Supreme Court as historic battle looms
  • Vivian Bercovici: After three years of war, exhausted Israelis head to the polls next weekNational Post · 3 days agoSeventy-one per cent of Jewish Israelis believe that a universal draft and an October 7 inquiry are critical issues in this election With less than one week before the Israeli election, 30 per cent of eligible voters say they are…
  • A Change Is Gonna Come: The Anti-Netanyahu Bloc Is Building an Unstoppable WaveHaaretz · 4 days agoIn my dream I see a tsunami. Every day and night. For almost four years, since the launch of Yariv Levin's judicial overhaul on January 4, 2023, and even more s Print in a simple, ad-free format Ad-free and in a comfortable reading format…
  • Israel’s Supreme Court Pushes Back Netanyahu’s Judicial ReformThe Epoch Times · 5 days agoIsrael’s Supreme Court affirmed its authority on Monday to overturn government decisions and so-called “Basic Laws,” major pieces of legislation that serve as a sort of constitution for Israel. In an 8–7 majority decision, the 15-member…
  • The buck stops nowhere in IsraelThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 5 days agoIsraelis heading to the polls have no shortage of reasons to want a new government. Each of us arrives at that conclusion by a different road. If you served in this war, in uniform or in reserves, you may want change because it is…
  • Ben-Gvir says Netanyahu is trying to exclude him from next government — Jerusalem PostUA.NEWS · 6 days agoIsraeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir said that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is, according to him, trying to prevent him from joining the next government. In an interview with radio station 103FM, Ben-Gvir said he takes…
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir breaks silence on Benjamin Netanyahu tensions, takes aim at Naftali BennettThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 7 days agoNational Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir said that he felt personally hurt by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's alleged efforts to exclude him from the next government, during an interview with 103FM on Monday. Despite their close…
  • Judicial Reform: The tragedy of the "goats" Netanyahu was not allowed to removeIsrael National News · 7 days agoDr. Aaron Lerner is head of IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis, since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations. In an interview with Kalman Liebskind, Editor in Chief of Makor…
  • Ben-Gvir refused to stop prisoner talkJFeed · 11 days agoIn interview airing motzei Shabbat, Chili Tropper says minister was asked to stop public statements on prison conditions after intelligence showed hostages in Gaza were being abused in retaliation and refused Later in the interview…
  • Likud candidate: reform push "was a mistake"JFeed · 11 days agoErez Tadmor, running for Likud's Knesset list, criticised Justice Minister Yariv Levin's handling of the judicial reform and laid out how the next government should approach the issue differently Erez Tadmor, a candidate for Likud's…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions