Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place (Oct 27, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $86 today · $2.8K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 33 min ago

The odds

67%Likud
  • Likud67%▲ 2
  • Yashar26%▼ 4
  • Together5%▲ 1
  • A Place for All of Us3%
  • Blue and White3%
  • Haredi Public3%
  • Israel First3%
  • New Economic Party3%
  • Religious Zionist Party3%
  • Unity3%
  • Zehut3%
  • Zionist Home–The Reservists3%
11 more
  • Noam for Israel2%
  • Religious Zionist Party–Zehut2%
  • Reservists–New Economic Party2%
  • Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)2%▼ 1
  • Otzma Yehudit2%▼ 1
  • People of Israel2%▼ 1
  • The Democrats2%▼ 1
  • United Torah Judaism2%▼ 1
  • Yisrael Beiteinu2%▼ 1
  • Ra'am1%▼ 1
  • Shas1%

How the odds have moved

Likud: 64% on Oct 20, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 12 PM ETLikud: 62% → 67%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Likud 67% ▲ 2 64¢ 70¢ $1.43 3.2K
Yashar 26% ▼ 4 22¢ 29¢ $3.45 1.5K
Together 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.9K
A Place for All of Us 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Blue and White 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Haredi Public 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Israel First 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
New Economic Party 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Religious Zionist Party 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Unity 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Zehut 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Zionist Home–The Reservists 3% 5¢ $20.00 405
Noam for Israel 2% 4¢ $25.00 405
Religious Zionist Party–Zehut 2% 4¢ $25.00
Reservists–New Economic Party 2% 4¢ $25.00
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 405
Otzma Yehudit 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 405
People of Israel 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 405
The Democrats 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 405
United Torah Judaism 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 405
Yisrael Beiteinu 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 405
Ra'am 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 405
Shas 1% 2¢ $50.00 405

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israeli Parliamentary

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions