Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Kalshi Economy Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $6.3K today · $138K traded · $24K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

98.1median

85105

Median 98.1Middle half 96.4 – 99.2

How the odds have moved

Median: 97.7 on Oct 20, 98.1 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 87.5 TWh	97%		96¢	97¢	$1.03	8.4K
Above 90.0 TWh	96%		95¢	96¢	$1.04	5.9K
Above 92.5 TWh	95%		94¢	95¢	$1.05	32.3K
Above 95.0 TWh	91%		90¢	91¢	$1.10	52.8K
Above 97.5 TWh	64%	▲ 10	63¢	64¢	$1.56	66.7K
Above 100.0 TWh	6%		5¢	6¢	$16.67	56.2K
Above 102.5 TWh	3%		2¢	3¢	$33.33	29.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Illinois

Search ›

Trump looms in Illinois Senate debatePOLITICO · 3 days agoShia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln 10/21/2026 08:00 AM EDT Good Wednesday morning, Illinois. Politics in this state has never been for the faint of heart. Republican Don Tracy and Democrat Juliana…
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Illinois State RedbirdsYahoo Sports · 4 days agoIllinois State Redbirds @ Southern Illinois Salukis: Live game updates, stats, play-by-play Yahoo Sports - Conference Top 25 America East American Conference Atlantic 10 Atlantic Coast Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky Big South Big Ten…
Dante Moore, Evan Stewart's Injuries Loom Large Ahead of IllinoisOregon Ducks On SI · 3 days agoAfter the Oregon Ducks were already without quarterback Dante Moore, who continues to recover from a concussion sustained on Sept. 26, the Oct. 14 injury report caused shock with a new addition. Wide receiver Evan Stewart initially ended…
Illinois Freshman Quentin Coleman Ranked 8 in Newcomer RankingsYahoo Sports · 3 days agoQuentin Coleman impressed scouts to close out his high school season, and he is picking up right where he left off. In his first game as an Illini, an exhibition matchup against Cincinnati, Coleman had the ball in his hands frequently and…
Basketball Museum of Illinois hosts Leadership Academy for student athletesCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Basketball Museum of…
Illinois Women's Basketball Ranked No. 23 in Preseason AP PollYahoo Sports · 3 days agoFor the fifth time in as many seasons under head coach Shauna Green, the Illinois Fighting Illini are ranked in the AP Top 25. This time, they're entering the year with a number next to their name. Nebraska, Michigan State and Oregon also…
What Illinois Basketball Must Prove Against Baylor in Exhibition GameYahoo Sports · 3 days agoIt's spooky season, so want to give Illinois fans a scare? Here's an idea: Name any Big Ten guard from the 2025-26 campaign. We'll go first: Jeremy Fears Jr., Nick Boyd, John Blackwell, Donovan Dent. Shall we go on? OK, just one more - an…
Dan Lanning Compliments Bret Bielema Ahead of Oregon-Illinois GameYahoo Sports · 3 days agoCoach Bret Bielema's 3-3 Illinois Fighting Illini are set to welcome coach Dan Lanning's Oregon Ducks to Champaign, Ill. this Saturday at 3 p.m. ET in one of the weekend's most anticipated Big Ten games. The Fighting Illini are coming off…
Illinois basketball’s freshmen could be even better than we thoughtYahoo Sports · 3 days agoIllinois basketball is officially back…kind of. It was Cincinnati, it didn't count, and Brad Underwood played 12 guys like he was running a science experiment. The Illini gave up 96 points, and Underwood himself said they didn't even…
Police investigate suspicious mail sent to 3 Illinois members of CongressCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Police investigate…
Oregon, Illinois face quarterback questions ahead of Big Ten clashCBS Sports · 3 days agoOregon could be looking at another game without quarterback and one-time Heisman Trophy hopeful Dante Moore and top receiver Evan Stewart in Saturday's Big Ten game against Illinois in Champaign, Ill. Moore has missed the past two games, a…
Online Illinois Lottery player wins $1.8 million prize in FastPlay gameCBS News · 3 days agoUpdated on: October 21, 2026 / 3:11 PM CDT / CBS Chicago Online Illinois Lottery players, check your tickets! Lottery officials announced on Wednesday that an Illinois iLottery player has won the $1,809,642 prize in the FastPlay Ultimate…

Related markets

All economy ›

Economy › The Fed

Fed Decision in October?

94%No change

No change94%▲ 2
25 bps increase5%▼ 1
50+ bps increase<1%

2 more

25 bps decrease<1%
50+ bps decrease<1%

Economy › The Fed

Fed Decision in December?

76%25 bps increase

25 bps increase76%▲ 4
No change20%▼ 1
50+ bps increase3%

2 more

25 bps decrease1%
50+ bps decrease<1%

Economy › The Fed

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%0 (0 bps)

0 (0 bps)97%▲ 1
1 (25 bps)1%
2 (50 bps)<1%

10 more

3 (75 bps)<1%
4 (100 bps)<1%
7 (175 bps)<1%
5 (125 bps)<1%
6 (150 bps)<1%
8 (200 bps)<1%
9 (225 bps)<1%
10 (250 bps)<1%
11 (275 bps)<1%
12+ (300+ bps)<1%

Economy

Texas crude oil production in 2026

5.76median

5.506

Median 5.76Middle half 5.73 – 5.80

Economy › The Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

75%chance▼ 3

Economy › The Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

73%Hike–Pause–Hike

Hike–Pause–Hike73%▲ 2
Hike–Pause–Pause21%▼ 1
Hike–Hike–Hike2%▼ 3

2 more

Hike–Hike–Pause1%▲ 1
Other1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onU.S. Energy Information Administration

Trading closesFeb 28, 2027 9:59 AM ET

Traded$138K (251,995 contracts)

Today$6.3K

This week$138K

At stake$24K

In the news68 headlines today, 1,149 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 87.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.