Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.7median
140230
Median 189.7Middle half 176.9 – 200.8
Install
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling? (Before Jul 1, 2027)
The odds
33%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 33% on Oct 19, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 231 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iceland
Search ›-
Iceland Considers AI for New Teaching MaterialsIceland’s education minister, Inga Sæland, says artificial intelligence and translations of foreign textbooks are among the options being considered for new teaching materials. However, no final decision has been made on how the funding… -
Van firm used by Iceland and Waitrose enters administrationA major commercial van hire firm used by supermarket chains, including Waitrose and Iceland, has collapsed into administration. VMS (Fleet Management) Limited appointed administrators on October 15, according to an official public record… -
Iceland's Embla Medical Q3 sales rise on prosthetics demandTradingView Iceland's Embla Medical Q3 sales rise on prosthetics demand -
Cass Sunstein to Discuss Social Media With Iceland’s PresidentHarvard scholar and Nudge co-author Cass R. Sunstein will join Iceland’s president, Halla Tómasdóttir, for a public discussion of social media and happiness in Reykjavík on Thursday, October 22. The University of Iceland says the… -
Iceland 112 Reports Around 20 Satellite SOS CasesIceland’s emergency services have handled around 20 cases involving satellite messages since the summer. The figure was confirmed by Ármann Gestsson, head of emergency call operations at Neyðarlínan. Speaking to Vísir on Sunday, Gestsson… -
Three additional rescue vessels to join Iceland’s maritime rescue fleetThree additional rescue vessels are set to join Iceland’s maritime rescue fleet following the signing of a declaration of intent between the Icelandic government and the country’s national search-and-rescue organisation. The declaration… -
Hotel Kulusuk Closes for Winter After Iceland Flights StopHotel Kulusuk in East Greenland has closed for the winter and laid off staff after winter flights from Iceland ended. Owner Mike Nicolaisen says the absence of customers arriving from Iceland makes it impossible to keep the hotel staffed… -
Norway and Iceland sign new free trade agreement with VietnamNorway and Iceland have joined Switzerland and Liechtenstein in signing a free trade agreement with Vietnam, opening the way for lower tariffs and improved market access for Nordic exporters. Norwegian salmon and mackerel producers are… -
Vietnam, Iceland boost economic, trade, investment tiesThe foreign ministries of Vietnam and Iceland should maintain close coordination and play their role as focal agencies in further advancing bilateral cooperation. Hanoi (VNA) - Minister of Foreign Affairs Le Hoai Trung met with his… -
Following myths and legends on a hike through Iceland's HighlandsLike a tempestuous god, Iceland changes its mood throughout the year. When the ice melts, it reveals black lava fields, steaming hot-spring valleys and a landscape alive with myth and folklore. (Is Iceland Really Green and Greenland Really… -
Israel's Arkia launches first nonstop flights to IcelandYnetnews For the first time, an Israeli airline will operate regular nonstop flights to Iceland Arkia announced Sunday the launch of its 2027 flight schedule, featuring 40 destinations worldwide, including five new routes Alongside…
Related markets
All world leaders ›Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
296median
250340
Median 296Middle half 283.9 – 308
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 28, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
- Before Dec 1, 20266%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%▲ 1
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20278%▼ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202713%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202718%▲ 1
- Before May 1, 202720%▲ 1
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202732%▲ 1
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202847%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202857%▲ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
194.4median
160230
Median 194.4Middle half 187.1 – 202.8
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
296.9median
250340
Median 296.9Middle half 290.4 – 306.5
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.1median
160230
Median 197.1Middle half 189.6 – 202.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions