Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
7.67median
-20015.0
Median 7.67Middle half 5.12 – 10.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.35 on Oct 20, 7.67 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turek by 3+ | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.7K | ||
| Turek by 0-3 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.3K | |
| Sand by 0-3 | 6% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 605 | |
| Sand by 3-6 | 22% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 7.4K |
| Sand by 6-9 | 33% | ▼ 1 | 28¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 3.6K |
| Sand by 9-12 | 23% | 19¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 3.7K | |
| Sand by 12+ | 13% | 8¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 7.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa, Sand, Turek
Search ›-
Democrats Turek, Sand campaign in Eastern Iowa ahead of midtermsCEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) - Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate Josh Turek and Decmocratic candidate for governor Rob Sand went door knocking in Cedar Rapids on Sunday as Iowa’s political races tighten ahead of the midterms. Turek also… -
Iowa State Rep. J.D. Scholten on tight Senate race between Hinson, TurekPresident Trump is campaigning in Sioux City, Iowa, on Thursday to try to drum up support for Republican Ashley Hinson in her Senate race against Democrat Josh Turek. J.D. Scholten, a campaign surrogate for Turek, joins CBS News to discuss… -
Josh Turek, the Paralympic gold medalist seeking a US Senate seat from IowaIowa state representative and Paralympic gold medallist Josh Turek is running for the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. -
Iowa’s Senate rivals pitch independence from their partiesAshley Hinson qualified her pledge to be Trump’s strongest ally, while Josh Turek praised the president’s border record. U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks during a debate with his Republican opponent, Ashley Hinson, on Oct. 7, 2026… - Iowa’s health care electionThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/25/2026 12:37 PM EDT With help from Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Sunday. This is Eli Okun coming to you with a dispatch from Iowa, where I…
- Health care shakes up the Iowa electionIf Democrats flip Congress, health care could find its way to the top of their 2027 agenda. 10/25/2026 12:26 PM EDT WAVERLY, Iowa — Gas and grocery prices have dominated the midterms, but November is shaping up to be a health care election…
-
Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”… -
Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midtermsIowa GOP gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn joins ‘The Big Weekend Show’ to discuss diesel prices, farmers’ support for the GOP and his race against Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand. Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midterms… -
‘On the brink of a crisis’: Farmers’ troubles imperil Iowa GOP after years of dominanceThis harvest season, farmers are feeling the pinch from both the war with Iran and the trade war. And it’s causing political problems for Iowa Republicans. POLK CITY, Iowa — Aaron Lehman has spent every fall for decades working the fields… -
Oil politics squeeze IowaThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/23/2026 02:36 PM EDT And President Donald Trump just told reporters that the order came directly from him, another breach of DOJ independence: “I’m the… -
Iowa Senate Candidates Rep. Ashley Hinson & Josh Turek and Gov. Wes Moore, Sunday on “This Week” with Co-anchor Jonathan KarlThis is a listing for 'This Week' airing Sunday, October 25, 2026. IOWA SENATE CANDIDATES REP. ASHLEY HINSON & JOSH TUREK AND GOV. WES MOORE, SUNDAY ON “THIS WEEK” WITH CO-ANCHOR JONATHAN KARL (R) Iowa Senate Nominee (D) Iowa Senate… -
ABC’s ‘This Week’ speaks with Hinson, Turek ahead of midtermsIowa (ABC) - Republican Iowa Senate nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic Iowa Senate nominee Josh Turek spoke with Jon Karl for ABC’s “This Week.” Watch Hinson’s full interview: Watch Turek’s full ... Iowa (ABC) - Republican Iowa Senate…
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
65%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)65%▲ 2
- Ken Paxton (R)36%▼ 1
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
65%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party65%▼ 2
- Republican Party36%▲ 2
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▼ 1
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep10%▲ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
66%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed66%▼ 2
- Mike Rogers34%▲ 3
Minnesota Senate winner? (2026)
84%Peggy Flanagan
- Peggy Flanagan84%▲ 1
- Michele Tafoya16%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions