Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 7
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 7
Install
Huon Valley mayoral election winner? (October 27, 2026)
The odds
34%Abby McKibben
- Abby McKibben34%▼ 3
- Mark Jessop30%▲ 1
- Paul Gibson24%▼ 5
- Marshall Callaghan6%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Abby McKibben: 37% on Oct 20, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby McKibben | 34% | ▼ 3 | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 7.3K |
| Mark Jessop | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.1K |
| Paul Gibson | 24% | ▼ 5 | 21¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 761 |
| Marshall Callaghan | 6% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 100 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Huon Valley, Abby McKibben, Mark Jessop
Search ›-
Tasmania Council Elections Set for Leadership Shake-UpArabic version: انتخابات المجالس في تسمانيا تمهّد لتغييرات في القيادة According to ABC News, Tasmania’s council elections are entering their final days with about 55 per cent of ballot papers returned, fewer councillor positions available…
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
59%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia59%▼ 9
- Student List – Students Win40%▲ 9
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
49%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%49%▲ 9
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%▼ 13
- Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 7
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%4%▼ 3
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
72%Yashar
- Yashar72%▲ 2
- Likud28%▼ 3
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions